European Markets Wrap-Up: Eurozone March retail sales -0.1% vs -0.3% m/m expected

Thursday, 07 May, 2026 News Eurozone March retail sales -0.1% vs -0.3% m/m expected Prior -0.2%; revised to -0.3% More to come.. News UK construction output slumps in April, posts steepest decline since November 2025 Construction PMI 39.7 vs 45.6 expected Prior 45.6 The reading reflects a sharp fall in overall business activity as surging inflation pressures are starting to weigh on demand conditions. There was a Learn more News China keeps up with the gold buying spree as reserves climb for a 18th straight month China gold reserves at the end of April 2026: 74.64 million troy ounces In March 2026: 74.38 million troy ounces China gold reserves value at the end of April 2026: $344.17 billion In March 2026: $342 Central Banks ECB policymaker Villeroy urges against speculating on timing of potential rate hike ECB's François Villeroy, Governor of the Banque de France, cautioned against premature speculation regarding the timing of future interest rate hikes. Villeroy has been emphasising that the ECB must r News German construction activity slumps hard in April as cost pressures continue to build Construction PMI 42.1 Prior 48.0 That's a rough one as the German construction sector slides deeper into contraction territory amid the fallout from the Middle East conflict. Surging energy prices is News Reaching understandings for the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz - Al Arabiya Intense communications to gradually reopen the Strait of Hormuz Reaching understandings regarding easing the siege in exchange for the gradual opening of the Strait of Hormuz The coming hours will wit News French trade deficit widened in March as energy imports start to push up Given the fallout from the Middle East conflict, this isn't surprising. We've seen a similar episode before during the Russia-Ukraine war, so this will very much follow the same path. As energy prices Commodities Gold rebounds strongly as hope for the end of the war returns. What's next? FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Gold rallied strongly yesterday following several positive developments on the US-Iran front. In fact, the bullish momentum got triggered by Trump pausing Project Freedom so that Learn more Central Banks ECB's Nagel: The ECB is likely to hike rates unless the outlook improves markedly The ECB is likely to hike rates unless the outlook improves markedly This is the exact same thing he said on Monday, so there's nothing to see here. The ECB has already signalled that a rate hike in J

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Asia Market Movers: PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8087 – Reuters estimate

Thursday, 07 May, 2026 Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8087 – Reuters estimate The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch Forex Japan's Mimura yen verbal intervention again - says closely watching FX Japan's Mimura yen verbal intervention again - says closely watching FX. Earlier: Bessent to raise weak yen with Japanese officials in Tokyo meetings next week While Mimura's comments are nothing out Learn more Central Banks BOJ March minutes says rates will be raised in line with improvements in economy, prices Bank of Japan held rates at 0.75% in March in an 8-1 vote, with minutes showing the board debated Iran war inflation risks and the danger of falling behind the curve on price stability. Full text here News EU parliament negotiator says trade deal work is not yet done as May talks loom EU parliament trade chief Bernd Lange says good progress has been made on EU-US trade deal legislation but more work remains, with the next trilogue set for May 19 in Strasbourg. Summary: European Par Commodities Oil insider trading fears after volume spike precedes Axios Iran report (rinse, repeat) Around $1.7 billion in U.S. crude futures changed hands in the hour before an Axios report on a potential U.S.-Iran peace deal sent oil prices lower, with multiple experts calling the activity suspici Central Banks Bank of Canada head Macklem warns consecutive rate hikes possible if oil prices stay high Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem warned that if high oil prices begin feeding into broader inflation, the central bank may need to deliver consecutive increases to its policy rate. Summary: The Ba Forex Yen intervention risks failure as Iran war clouds Japan's currency defence Japan's suspected JPY5-6 trillion yen intervention may prove its least successful yet as the Iran war leaves authorities at the mercy of unpredictable geopolitical factors, MUFG warns. Summary: Japane Central Banks RBNZ Gov Breman expects higher near term inflation and weak growth RBNZ Governor Breman: Expect New Zealand house prices to remain flat, increase a “little bit” over time Expect somewhat higher near term inflation Expect somewhat weaker growth but we still expect gro Learn more Central Banks Bessent to raise weak yen with Japanese officials in Tokyo meetings next week U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent will visit Japan next week for talks covering the weak yen, rare earths and energy procurement, with individual meetings scheduled with the PM, finance minister and Ban

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