European Markets Wrap-Up | ECB policymaker Kažimír says that a rate hike in June is all but inevitable

Monday, 04 May, 2026 Central Banks ECB policymaker Kažimír says that a rate hike in June is all but inevitable Higher energy prices bound to spread to the rest of the economy Policy tightening in June is all but inevitable Increasingly likely that Europe is facing a prolonged period of broad-based price increa News ECB survey of professional forecasters see higher inflation and lower growth this year Full report here The latest ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) showed a complex environment for the Eurozone economy in the short-term, characterized by higher inflationary pressures and sof Learn more News Eurozone May Sentix investor confidence -16.4 vs -21.0 expected Prior -19.2 Euro area investor morale surprisingly picks up in May, indicating that investors do not expect a further escalation to the US-Iran conflict. There was one notable exception though, being News Eurozone factory activity picks up in April but the devil is in the details Manufacturing PMI 52.2 vs 52.2 prelim Prior 51.6 Much like the country-level reports would suggest, it is all about stockpiling here. That is the main reason boosting euro area manufacturing activity News Germany April final manufacturing PMI 51.4 vs 51.2 prelim Prior was 52.2 Key findings : April sees further, albeit slower, increases in output and new orders Business expectations turn negative for first time in 18 months Cost pressures and supply delays wor News France factory output in April bolstered by stockpiling while price pressures intensify Manufacturing PMI 52.8 vs 52.8 prelim Prior 50.0 The final report reaffirms a pick up in both output and new orders, increasing at the fastest pace since 1H 2022. All of this of course is linked to st News Italy April manufacturing PMI 52.1 vs 51.9 expected Prior 51.3 Key findings : Output rises at strongest rate in over three years, but demand softens Purchasing activity growth hits four-year record Delivery delays and cost inflation their greatest in n News Switzerland April manufacturing PMI 54.5 vs 52.0 expected Prior 53.3 Swiss manufacturing activity shows a notable pick up in April but it could be a similar case to that in Spain here . That as clients pushed up activity in order to rush to secure stock, ami Learn more News Spain manufacturing activity picks up in April but the details are not as rosy Manufacturing PMI 51.7 vs 49.5 expected Prior 48.7 That's a surprising jump but the details show that it is mostly on the back of a notable push up in new orders and output as clients look to secure s

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Asia Market Movers | CBA tips RBA rate hike tomorrow but warns Iran war makes it a close call. Split RBA board

Monday, 04 May, 2026 Central Banks CBA tips RBA rate hike tomorrow but warns Iran war makes it a close call. Split RBA board Commonwealth Bank expects the RBA to raise rates 25bp to 4.35% in May 5, but warns the decision is line ball given Iran war inflation pressures and softening consumer sentiment. Summary: Commonwealth Forex Barclays warns yen recovery likely temporary despite Tokyo's $35bn intervention Japan likely spent up to $35bn intervening to support the yen, but Barclays warns depreciation pressure will persist over the medium term as Iran war energy costs weigh. Summary: The dollar had its la Learn more Commodities UKMTO says a tanker has reported being hit by unknown projectiles, Strait of Hormuz UKMTO says it has received a report of an incident 78nm north of UAE’s Fujairah says a tanker has reported being hit by unknown projectiles, all crew are reported safe Commodities Pentagon puts full military weight behind Project Freedom (Hormuz freedom) from May 4 US CENTCOM says military support for Project Freedom begins May 4, deploying guided-missile destroyers, 100-plus aircraft, unmanned platforms and 15,000 service members to the Strait of Hormuz. Summar Commodities Iran draws red line (ceasefire breach) on Hormuz as US ship coordination plan takes shape Iran's parliament security chief has rejected Trump's Project Freedom plan for the Strait of Hormuz, warning that any US interference in the waterway would constitute a ceasefire violation. Summary: E Central Banks Fed's Kashkari refuses to rule out rate hikes as Iran conflict stokes inflation Fed's Kashkari says the Iran war raises inflation risks and may force rate hikes, adding the Fed cannot signal cuts are coming while the Hormuz strait remains closed. Summary: Minneapolis Fed Presiden Commodities WSJ says Trump plan to guide ships through Hormuz doesn’t involve U.S. Navy escorts President Trump announced on Sunday that the United States would begin coordinating the movement of commercial vessels out of the Strait of Hormuz, launching an initiative he called Project Freedom an Commodities Oil down, equities up on Trump's Hormuz plan just announced. Leaves Iran all at sea. This impacting opening prices in futures: Trump: US Navy will make effort to free up ships in Hormuz beginning Monday Mid East time Trump launches Project Freedom to escort ships out of Hormuz. Leaves Learn more Cryptocurrency Trump launches Project Freedom to escort ships out of Hormuz. Leaves Iran stranded. Trump says the US will begin escorting guiding neutral ships out of the Strait of Hormuz on Monday under an operation called Project Freedom, describing the move as a humanitarian gesture. It leaves I

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