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Tuesday, March 10, 2026

European Markets Wrap-Up: China exports surge 21.8% as trade surplus widens at start of 2026 - more detail

Tuesday, 10 Mar, 2026

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China exports surge 21.8% as trade surplus widens at start of 2026 - more detail

China exports surge at start of 2026 as trade surplus widens sharply. Summary: China's exports surged 21.8% y/y in January–February, far exceeding expectations and accelerating sharply from December's

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China's trade data for January–February came in much stronger than expected

China's trade data for January–February came in much stronger than expected. Exports (USD terms) rose 21.8% y/y (expected 7.1%, previous 6.6%). Imports (USD terms) increased 19.8% y/y (expected 6.3%,

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investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Trump's mixed messages on his war

ICYMI: Goldman Sachs & Barclays warn sustained oil surge could push US inflation toward 3% Trump advisers urge Iran war exit plan amid epic oil price surge. Epic Blunder? Recap - Japan upgrades Q4

Commodities

ICYMI: Goldman Sachs & Barclays warn sustained oil surge could push US inflation toward 3%

Summary of weekend notes ICYMI: Higher oil prices linked to geopolitical tensions could lift U.S. inflation if the increase persists for several months. Goldman Sachs estimates a sustained 10% rise in

Commodities

Trump advisers urge Iran war exit plan amid epic oil price surge. Epic Blunder?

Trump faces pressure from advisers to outline Iran war exit plan as oil prices surge. This is via the Wall Street Journal (gated), in brief below: Summary: Some advisers to Donald Trump are urging him

News

Recap - Japan upgrades Q4 GDP to 1.3% on strong investment, Iran war clouds outlook

Japan's GDP growth revised sharply higher as investment strengthens, but energy risks cloud outlook. Summary: Japan's fourth-quarter GDP growth was revised sharply higher to 1.3% annualised, far above

Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.8982 (vs. estimate at 6.8891)

The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. PBOC injects 39.5bn yuan via 7-day reverse repos at 1.4% in open market operations today.

News

Iran plans shipping levies in Gulf. Trump warns massive retaliation if oil flows disrupted

Iran signals shipping pressure in Gulf while Trump warns of massive retaliation if oil flows are disrupted. Summary: Iran is reportedly preparing "security duties" on ships linked to U.S.-allied count

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Australian business confidence turns negative as conditions hold steady (pre war survey)

Australian business conditions hold steady while confidence slips into negative territory. Note - this survey was taken before the war. With the surge in energy prices confidence will not have improve

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Asia Market Movers: Trump advisers urge Iran war exit plan amid epic oil price surge. Epic Blunder?

Tuesday, 10 Mar, 2026

Commodities

Trump advisers urge Iran war exit plan amid epic oil price surge. Epic Blunder?

Trump faces pressure from advisers to outline Iran war exit plan as oil prices surge. This is via the Wall Street Journal (gated), in brief below: Summary: Some advisers to Donald Trump are urging him

tranche
 

News

Recap - Japan upgrades Q4 GDP to 1.3% on strong investment, Iran war clouds outlook

Japan's GDP growth revised sharply higher as investment strengthens, but energy risks cloud outlook. Summary: Japan's fourth-quarter GDP growth was revised sharply higher to 1.3% annualised, far above

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Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.8982 (vs. estimate at 6.8891)

The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. PBOC injects 39.5bn yuan via 7-day reverse repos at 1.4% in open market operations today.

News

Iran plans shipping levies in Gulf. Trump warns massive retaliation if oil flows disrupted

Iran signals shipping pressure in Gulf while Trump warns of massive retaliation if oil flows are disrupted. Summary: Iran is reportedly preparing "security duties" on ships linked to U.S.-allied count

News

Australian business confidence turns negative as conditions hold steady (pre war survey)

Australian business conditions hold steady while confidence slips into negative territory. Note - this survey was taken before the war. With the surge in energy prices confidence will not have improve

Commodities

Iran rejects Trump's claims of progress in war, warns regional oil exports could halt

Summary: Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) responded sharply to recent comments from Donald Trump, saying Tehran, not Washington, will determine when the war ends. The IRGC warned that i

Central Banks

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8891 – Reuters estimate

The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch

News

UK consumer spending remains subdued as inflation fears rise and wage growth firms

Summary: UK consumer spending grew modestly in February, rising 1.1% year-on-year, highlighting fragile household demand. Sentiment weakened as the Middle East conflict raised fears of higher fuel pri

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Japan Q4 GDP final revision improves from a porr preliminary result

Japanese GDP Q4 2025, final. 0.3% q/q expected 0.3%, prior -0.6% Annualized 1.3% expected 1.2%, prior -2.3% GDP inflation measure 3.4% y/y expected 3.4%, prior 3.5% --- External Demand 0% q/q expected

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