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Monday, March 30, 2026

American Market Recap | Anthropic's Mythos leak is about more than cybersecurity stocks

Monday, 30 Mar, 2026

Stocks

Anthropic's Mythos leak is about more than cybersecurity stocks

The story so far reads like something out of a bad thriller: a misconfigured content management system, 3,000 unsecured documents, and the accidental exposure of what Anthropic now confirms is the m

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News

Israel proposes to Trump to strike Iran's energy to accelerate regime change - report

Israel's Channel 12 reports that Netanyahu's government proposed to Trump that they should strike Iran's energy infrastructure to accelerate the collapse of the regime. The report says Israeli officia

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Central Banks

ECB's Stournaras: ECB would react to a 2nd round of price effects

ECBs Stournaras is on the wires saying: ECB would react to a 2nd round of price effects from oil shock she conflict in Middle East be protracted, then ECB March baseline scenario is a risk Longer or m

Commodities

Crude oil backs off a bit after reaching the 61.8% retracement level target

The price of crude oil pushed to its highest level since March 9, extending to an intraday high of $103.86. In doing so, the price moved above the 61.8% retracement of the sharp move down from the Mar

News

WSJ: Leader look to ease the burden on fertilizer exports through the Strait of Hormuz

The WSJ is reporting that diplomats and global leaders are floating a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for fertilizer exports using a model similar to the Ukraine grain corridor established dur

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq at key swing area crossroads

The Nasdaq index is chopping up and down during the Powell speech, reflecting indecision after last week's sharp selloff. The low for the day reached 20891.96 , briefly breaking below a key swing area

News

Trump offers cryptic comments on negotiations but seems to stick with April 6 timeline

President Trump spoke with the New York Post in some comments that are hard to interpret. He seemed to indicate that the US was negotiating with Iran's parliamentary speaker, someone who was reported

Central Banks

Fed's Powell: Policy is in a good place to wait and see how current situation plays out

We are committed to getting inflation back to 2% on a sustained basis There is tension between our two objectives We haven't really seen the downside risks to a large balance sheet Policy in a good pl

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Stock market update

Tech stocks mixed: Microsoft climbs, semiconductors stumble

Tech stocks mixed: Microsoft climbs, semiconductors stumble 📊 Sector Overview Technology Sector: A dynamic session in technology saw Microsoft (MSFT) rise by 1.62%, showing strength in the softwar

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European Markets Wrap-Up | Month-end flows point to dollar buying into the fix - BofA

Monday, 30 Mar, 2026

Forex Orders

Month-end flows point to dollar buying into the fix - BofA

According to BofA's month-end fixing model, the dollar is the one favoured as we look to wrap up March and Q1 trading in the coming days. This fits with what was pointed out by both Credit Agricole an

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News

US consumers, importers are the ones suffering the most from tariffs - ECB study

The study notes that the costs of tariffs enacted by the Trump administration are "falling mostly on domestic importers and consumers". In putting a number to that, the study reveals that US consumers

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Forex

Indian Rupee falls quickly back to Friday's record lows despite another RBI intervention

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar strengthened across the board heading into the weekend as traders hedged on risks of a potential ground invasion. This morning, we are seeing some weakness as t

News

Bavaria March CPI +2.8% vs +1.9% y/y prior

The other state releases around the same time: Brandenburg CPI +% vs +2.0% y/y prior Hesse CPI +% vs +2.2% y/y prior Saxony CPI +2.6% vs +1.9% y/y prior North Rhine Westphalia +2.7% vs +1.8% y/y prior

Forex

USDJPY falls below the key 160.00 handle amid intensifying verbal intervention

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar strengthened across the board heading into the weekend as traders hedged on risks of a potential ground invasion. This morning, we are seeing some weakness as t

Central Banks

BOJ reaffirms that underlying inflation is rising moderately towards 2% level

Composite indicators on medium-to-long-term inflation expectations show a gradual increase towards 2% Underlying inflation must be judged comprehensively by examining a wide range of information If re

Forex

Market outlook for the week of 30th March - 3rd April

Monday starts quietly, with no significant economic events scheduled for the FX market. For now, the key focus remains on developments about the conflict in Iran. The only other event of note on Monda

News

What are the main events for today?

EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, the main highlight will be the German inflation data. We will get first the German states figures which generally give clues on the national CPI data. The nat

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News

Heads up: Germany states' CPI readings due later today

This will be quite the anticipated report to watch in the session ahead. Prior to the US-Iran conflict, German inflation was already the key sticking point for the ECB in preventing the central bank f

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