European Markets Wrap-Up: Italy April preliminary CPI +2.8% vs +2.6% y/y expected

Thursday, 30 Apr, 2026 News Italy April preliminary CPI +2.8% vs +2.6% y/y expected Prior +1.7% HICP +2.9% vs +2.5% y/y expected Prior +1.6% More to come.. News Eurozone April preliminary CPI +3.0% vs +2.9% y/y expected Prior +2.6% Core CPI +2.2% vs +2.2 y/y expected Prior +2.3% More to come.. Learn more News Eurozone Q1 preliminary GDP +0.1% vs +0.2% q/q expected Prior +0.2% GDP Y/Y +0.8% vs +0.9% expected Prior +1.2% These lower than expected figures further complicate ECB's decision but points more towards a neutral stance with a slightly hawkish bias in cas Central Banks The ECB is stuck between a rock and a hard place I don't envy being in the ECB's position right now. The central bank already had to pause on rate cuts during the summer last year as inflation pressures stopped easing, especially in Germany. A modes Forex Japan's top currency diplomat issues final warning before action in FX market No comment on FX level In close contact with our US counterpart Closely coordinating with US based on our FX agreement in September last year This is my final warning before action The Japanese yen ex News Italy Q1 preliminary GDP +0.2% vs +0.1% q/q expected Prior +0.3% It's a modest reading with the yearly estimate showing a 0.7% increase in GDP compared to the first quarter of last year. But with the energy price surge set to have a more profound impact Forex Japan's Katayama: We are getting closer to taking decisive step in FX market Stronger verbal intervention sends the JPY higher. The 160.00 handle on USD/JPY is definitely the line in the sand for Japanese officials but we've seen time and time again that their interventions ar News Germany Q1 preliminary GDP +0.3% vs +0.2% q/q expected Prior +0.2% That's a solid showing even as March data is likely weakened by the impact of the Middle East conflict. Relative to the same quarter a year ago, the quarterly performance here shows a 0.5% Learn more News Germany April unemployment change 20k vs 4k expected Prior 0k Unemployment rate 6.4% vs 6.3% expected Prior 6.3%; revised to 6.4% The struggle continues as the jobless figure rose by 20,000 on the month. So, that brings the overall number of unemployed

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Asia Market Movers: New Zealand April business confidence in the hole at minus 10.6% vs. +32.5% in March

Thursday, 30 Apr, 2026 News New Zealand April business confidence in the hole at minus 10.6% vs. +32.5% in March ANZ NZ business survey, April 2026 Business Confidence is -10.6% prior +32.5% Activity outlook +19.5 prior +39.3 I'll have more to come on this separately Commodities Japan March industrial output falls 0.5% as Hormuz closure hits chemicals and fuels Japan's industrial production fell 0.5% in March, missing the +1.1% forecast, as Hormuz-linked disruptions cut chemical and fuel output. Manufacturers see a further decline in April before a 2.2% rebo Learn more Commodities A desperate Trump pitches Maritime Freedom Construct coalition to reopen Strait of Hormuz The Trump administration is seeking international partners for a "Maritime Freedom Construct" coalition to restore Hormuz navigation, a State Department cable shows, as peace talks stall and Trump sig Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8414 – Reuters estimate The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch News Japan March Industrial production misses expectations while Retail Sales beat Japan data, March 2026: Industrial Production (preliminary) -0.5% m/m expected +1.1%, prior -2.0% and +2.3% y/y prior +0.4% Manufacturers see April output -0.5% m.m (prior -2.6%) and May output +2.2% Central Banks Bank of England set to hold at 3.75% as Iran war forces stagflation reckoning The Bank of England is expected to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on Thursday in an 8-1 vote, with new forecasts set to show higher inflation and weaker growth as the MPC assesses the Iran war's economic fal Central Banks NZ makes RBNZ votes public as fin min Willis overhauls MPC transparency charter New Zealand's Finance Minister has overhauled the RBNZ's MPC charter, making individual member votes public when consensus is not reached and requiring meeting records to attribute material difference Central Banks Preview: ECB expected to keep rates at 2% today. Lagarde tone on June takes centre stage The ECB is expected to hold rates at 2% on Thursday. Markets price a 10% chance of a hike today but look to June for the first move. Lagarde's tone on inflation and the Middle East conflict will drive Learn more Central Banks Brazil's cuts rate by 25bp to 14.50% but flags deanchored inflation and Middle East risks Brazil's Copom unanimously cut the Selic 25bp to 14.50% but offered no forward guidance, warning that future moves depend on the depth and duration of the Middle East conflict and that inflation proje

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