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Friday, May 1, 2026

European Markets Wrap-Up: USD/JPY wipes out a chunk of the likely intervention play earlier, so what's next?

Friday, 01 May, 2026

Forex

USD/JPY wipes out a chunk of the likely intervention play earlier, so what's next?

The price movements in USD/JPY in the past two days have been rather interesting. It has a certain feel that Tokyo is intervening but they don't seem to be going as hard as they did before during prev

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Central Banks

ECB policymaker Nagel says more appropriate to respond in June if outlook does not improve

Should not forget that baseline scenario already entails a more restrictive monetary policy It would be more appropriate to respond in June if outlook does not improve markedly Well, this just reaffir

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Forex

USD/JPY tumbles again after early bounce, Japan MOF back in the market?

Now, this is more like it. In essence, the second round should be more effective given that speculators who have been burned will stay out of the way now. This is a quick 130-150 pips drop now in USD/

News

UK April Nationwide house prices +0.4% vs -0.3% m/m expected

Prior +0.9% That's a solid beat on the estimate and it reaffirms the continued resilience in the UK housing market despite the economic and financial uncertainty from the Middle East conflict. The ave

Forex Orders

FX option expiries for 1 May 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day, with the full list seen below. With European markets closed in observance of Labor Day, traders will be left to their own devices for the mo

News

Reminder: European markets will be closed today

The closure will be in observance of Labor Day and extends to all major European markets. Even the ECB's payment and securities settlement systems will be down. As such, that will impact liquidity con

Forex Orders

USD/JPY bounces back after supposed intervention effort by Tokyo yesterday

When the drop happened yesterday, I wasn't convinced that it was actual intervention from Japan's ministry of finance. I'm sure I was not the only one who felt that way. After Katayama delivered her f

News

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Japan warns of more intervention if needed

Japan intervenes to defend yen and warns of further action over Golden Week Axios:Trump received briefing on plans for possible military action against Iran ASEAN ministers warn Middle East war threat

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Forex

Japan intervenes to defend yen and warns of further action over Golden Week

Japan basically confirmed FX intervention for first time in nearly two years after yen breached 160/USD, sending it 3% higher to 155.5. Mimura warns further action possible during Golden Week. US and

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Asia Market Movers: May meeting, RBA set for third straight hike as Hormuz closure drives inflation surge

Friday, 01 May, 2026

Central Banks

May meeting, RBA set for third straight hike as Hormuz closure drives inflation surge

Reuters poll: RBA to hike 25bps to 4.35% on May 5, say 30 of 33 economists. Over a third now see rates at 4.60%+ by year-end vs none in March. Strait of Hormuz closure keeps oil above $100; CPI at 4.1

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News

Japan manufacturing PMI hits 4-year high but Middle East stockpiling masks fragile demand

Japan April manufacturing PMI 55.1 vs 51.6 in March, best since January 2022. Output fastest since Feb 2014 but driven by stockpiling. Supply delays worst in 15 years. Input costs at 3.5-year high. Bu

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Central Banks

Japan head intervention official won't comment on FX or oil futures intervention

Japan's senior currency official Atsushi Mimura refused to confirm or deny reports of yen intervention after the currency breached 160 per dollar, as the BoJ's cautious stance, $120 oil and thin Golde

Central Banks

Tokyo CPI misses forecast sharply, giving BoJ room to hold despite June hike signals

This is a yen-negative, JGB-positive print in the near term. The magnitude of the miss on core-core, coming in at 1.9% against a 2.3% expectation and prior, is significant enough to give the BoJ genui

Commodities

Gold could nearly double, $8K, as emerging market central banks ditch the USD for bullion

The $8,000 price target is conceptual rather than a formal forecast, but the structural argument underpinning it is difficult to dismiss. Central bank buying has been the dominant driver of gold deman

Central Banks

Japan: Tokyo area April CPI headline 1.5% y/y (expected 1.7%, prior 1.4%)

Tokyo CPI, April 2026 is not going to rush the BoJ into rate hikes! Headline is 1.5% y/y expected 1.6%, prior 1.4% Core CPI (ex Food) 1.5% y/y, slowest since March 2022 expected 1.8%, prior1.7% Core-c

News

Australian factory input costs hit four-year high as Middle East supply disruption bites

Australia April manufacturing PMI 51.3 vs 49.8 in March, but headline flatters. Input costs fastest in 4 years, supply delays worst since July 2022. Output, new orders and employment all fell. Middle

Stock market update

S&P 500 considers fast-track entry rules as SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic eye IPOs

S&P Dow Jones Indices launches review of megacap eligibility rules, potentially halving the listing period to 6 months and waiving profitability requirements. SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic among po

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News

NZ consumer confidence hits three-year low as Middle East oil shock bites

ANZ-Roy Morgan NZ Consumer Confidence fell 11pts to 80.3 in April, a three-year low, down 20pts in two months. Inflation expectations jump to 6.6%. Personal finances weakest since mid-2008. Retail out

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