European Markets Wrap-Up: investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news: Trump open to ending war without Hormuz opening (WSJ)

Tuesday, 31 Mar, 2026 News investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news: Trump open to ending war without Hormuz opening (WSJ) Global stocks see biggest selling in a year. Hedge funds ramp shorts (Goldman Sachs data) China factory activity hits 1-year high as PMIs return to expansion China March official PMIs: Manufacturing 5 Stock market update Global stocks see biggest selling in a year. Hedge funds ramp shorts (Goldman Sachs data) Summary: Global equities saw largest net selling since April 2025 Marks sixth consecutive week of equity outflows Selling heavily skewed toward short positions (5.6:1 vs longs) North America and Europ Learn more News China factory activity hits 1-year high as PMIs return to expansion China's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.4 in March, a one-year high, with all PMIs returning to expansion, though rising input costs and Middle East war risks threaten the durability of the recovery. Sum News China March official PMIs: Manufacturing 50.4 (exp 50) Non-manufacturing 50.1 (exp 49.9) Just the data. China March official PMIs all retrun to expansion: Manufacturing 50.4 expected 50, prior 49.0 Non-manufacturing 50.1 expected 49.9, prior 49.5 Composite 50.5 expected 50.2, prior 49.5 I Central Banks Tokyo inflation cools further but underlying price pressures remain intact Summary: Tokyo CPI slowed to its weakest pace in four years in March Headline inflation eased to 1.4% (prev. 1.5%) Core CPI (ex-fresh food) slowed to 1.7% (exp. 1.8%) Core-core inflation (ex-food, ene Central Banks PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 6.9194 (vs. estimate at 6.9209) The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. PBOC injects 32.5bn yuan in 7-day reverse repos at 1.4% (unchanged) in open market operations Commodities WSJ: Trump open to ending Iran war without reopening Strait of Hormuz Trump is reportedly open to ending the Iran war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, signalling a shift in priorities, though continued U.S. troop build-up suggests mixed messaging and ongoing risk Central Banks RBA March Minutes: Members agreed further tightening would likely be needed Full text is here. Summary: RBA minutes after March hike was a tightly split 5-4 decision Board agreed financial conditions needed to be restrictive Members agreed further tightening would likely be n Learn more News NZ business confidence and activity collapse. Inflation pressures remain elevated. Summary: ANZ Business Confidence (Mar): 32.5 (prev. 59.2) ANZ Activity Outlook (Mar): 39.3 (prev. 52.6) ANZ Business Outlook shows weak business confidence persists Inflation indicators remain elevate

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Asia Market Movers: WSJ: Trump open to ending Iran war without reopening Strait of Hormuz

Tuesday, 31 Mar, 2026 Commodities WSJ: Trump open to ending Iran war without reopening Strait of Hormuz Trump is reportedly open to ending the Iran war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, signalling a shift in priorities, though continued U.S. troop build-up suggests mixed messaging and ongoing risk Central Banks RBA March Minutes: Members agreed further tightening would likely be needed Full text is here. Summary: RBA minutes after March hike was a tightly split 5-4 decision Board agreed financial conditions needed to be restrictive Members agreed further tightening would likely be n Learn more News NZ business confidence and activity collapse. Inflation pressures remain elevated. Summary: ANZ Business Confidence (Mar): 32.5 (prev. 59.2) ANZ Activity Outlook (Mar): 39.3 (prev. 52.6) ANZ Business Outlook shows weak business confidence persists Inflation indicators remain elevate News Australia to scrap junior pay rates for 18–20-year-olds in major wage shift Summary: Fair Work Commission to abolish junior pay rates for 18–20-year-olds Around 500,000 workers set to benefit across retail, fast food and pharmacies Pay increases to be phased in over up to fou Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9209 – Reuters estimate The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch News Japan February retail sales drop below expected and prior, industrial output soft also We had CPI data earlier: Japan Tokyo Core CPI 1.7% y/y , below expected and prior both 1.8% Now retail and industry: I'll have more to come on this separately News Japan Tokyo Core CPI 1.7% y/y , below expected and prior both 1.8% I'll have more to come on this separately. In brief, less pressure on the BoJ to hike with these numbers: Tokyo area March core CPI rises at slowest pace since April 2024 Tokyo area March core-core CP Central Banks Australia confidence hits record low and inflation expectations hit record high Summary: ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence hits fresh record low Inflation expectations surge to a new record high Households increasingly pessimistic on economic outlook Cost-of-living pressures rem Learn more Central Banks UK shop price inflation rises as Iran war lifts supply chain costs Summary: UK shop price inflation ticks up to 1.2% y/y in March (prev. 1.1%) Retailers warn Iran war is beginning to lift supply chain costs Food inflation eases slightly, non-food prices turn positive

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