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Thursday, April 16, 2026

American Market Recap: Trump says Iran meeting could be on weekend; Netanyahu confirms Lebanon ceasefire

Thursday, 16 Apr, 2026

News

Trump says Iran meeting could be on weekend; Netanyahu confirms Lebanon ceasefire

Iran's agreed they won't have a nuclear weapon If there's no deal with Iran, fighting will resume We have a lot of agreement with Iran Iran has agreed to give us back the nuclear dust Next meeting wit

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Commodities

Oil prices continue to creep higher in today's trade in a worrisome sign

I don't love the price action in oil at the moment. For one, it highlights the lingering risks around a peace deal in Iran. The market briefly shuddered on a report that said it could take six months

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News

Gulf and European officials expect the US to take six months for an Iran deal

A newswire report is just out talking about a six month timeline for an Iran deal, citing Gulf and European officials. It's worth highlighting that the original JCPOA took two years to negotiate. The

News

Trump announces Isreal and Lebanon ceasefire

This isn't a big surprise given the leaks all week but it's still progress and a great signal that the US and Iran are on track: I just had excellent conversations with the Highly Respected President

News

Anthropic releases Opus 4.7 drops but the real 'Mythos' is still behind the glass

If you’ve been using AI lately, you know the discourse. It’s been a frustrating few weeks for the power users and there’s a growing chorus on Reddit and X that the latest updates from Google and Anthr

Stock market update

Tech giants falter: Energy stocks gain momentum

Sector Overview The latest stock market snapshot reveals a mixed landscape across sectors, with energy stocks soaring while tech giants experience a downturn. The energy sector, represented by notab

Central Banks

Fed's Miran: I would pencil in 3 rate cuts this year versus 4 before the war

Miran is a joke and is only there to take orders from the White House but even he can't ignore the oil shock and its impact on inflation. So he says he would now pencil in 3 cuts this year compared to

Central Banks

Fed's Williams: At this moment, not appropriate to provide specific forward guidance

At this moment, it is not appropriate for the Fed to provide specific forward guidance Monetary policy is currently situated in the correct position Inflation figures will stay "significantly higher"

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News

Israel preparing to halt Lebanon combat operations - report

There was a report from Iranian media two days ago that a ceasefire was hours away and that turned out to be not true. Note that this one is from Haaretz, which is a daily Israeli newspaper. It says t

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European Markets Wrap-Up: Eurozone March final CPI +2.6% vs +2.5% y/y prelim

Thursday, 16 Apr, 2026

News

Eurozone March final CPI +2.6% vs +2.5% y/y prelim

Prior +1.9% Core CPI +2.3% vs +2.3% y/y prelim Prior +2.4% More to come..

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Stocks

Netflix earnings is tonight. Are you holding?

Netflix earnings analysis: a simple risk check many stock investors overlook NFLX stock went up a staggeting 44% in the last 36 trading days. That's quite a fast and big move. If you were a bit greedy

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News

Senior Iranian Official: Fundamental disagreements continue over nuclear issues

Pakistani army chief trip to Iran helped reduce differences in some areas After the trip, there are greater hopes for extending the ceasefire and holding a second round of talks Fundamental disagreeme

Central Banks

ECB's Villeroy: April hike premature, no rush to act

Focus on April hike is premature The ECB would have no hesitation to act if and when necessary There's no rush to act at the moment There's no predetermined rate path The ECB will need critical mass o

News

Italy March final CPI +1.7% vs +1.7% y/y prelim

Prior +1.5% HICP +1.6% vs +1.5% y/y prelim Prior +1.5% The jump in Italy's headline inflation is not as profound as elsewhere in the region. However, it still reflects the same characteristics with en

Forex

The Indian Rupee holds ground amid US-Iran optimism as US dollar remains under pressure

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar has been on the backfoot since Monday as the positive US-Iran deal expectations kept weighing on the greenback. The second round of negotiations were expected t

Central Banks

Swiss franc appreciation has led to tighter monetary conditions - SNB minutes

Since the December meeting, financial market situation has been characterised by elevated volatility Middle East conflict has resulted in surge in energy prices, which led to a global rise in inflatio

Forex

USDJPY extends drop as US dollar stays on the backfoot amid US-Iran optimism

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar has been on the backfoot since Monday as the positive US-Iran deal expectations kept weighing on the greenback. The second round of negotiations were expected t

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Analysis Today: BTC Holds Bullish Structure as Path Toward $80K Remains in Play

Bitcoin price prediction: Maybe something like this (watch $80k area on bitcoin futures) Bitcoin futures 4h chart showing a possible path to $80k Bitcoin Price Analysis on the Above 4h Chart: The Path

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