| | | | | The Brief | Mar 14, 2026 | | | | 3 quick answers that help you find trades others can't | | | | | | | | | Check out this newsletter we're testing and let us know what you think at the bottom | | | | | | | | | What are this week's market risks or opportunities? | | | | | | A 99% chance of no rate cut sounds like a non-event. It isn't. With rates on hold, the market's entire focus shifts to what Powell says about the ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic backdrop. Right now, his words carry more weight than his actions. | | | | Oil is up sharply year-to-date, increasing the risk of sticky inflation and the stagflation scenario the Fed most wants to avoid. The dollar is rebounding from multi-year lows against major currencies — a significant reversal that tightens global financial conditions and puts pressure on emerging markets. | | | | Equities are also under pressure, with growth stocks taking the worst of it. Any hawkish signal from Powell on inflation or growth could extend those moves fast. | | | | | | | | | | | Which trades should I consider? | | | | | | The hardest part of a tech selloff isn't the losses. It's not knowing if you're buying too soon, or into something that won't recover. | | | | AI names across the board — semiconductors, infrastructure, software — are now trading at steep discounts after months of selling pressure. Some are showing 40%+ upside to fair value. That's not a blip. It reflects a sector pricing in both macro fear and AI disruption risk at the same time. | | | | The contrarian case is real. Breaking-tech names don't stay at these discounts for long once sentiment shifts. The question is whether recovery conditions are forming — or whether we're still in the middle of the reset. | | | | | | | | | | | Should I consider this trade? | | | | | | If you're looking at beaten-down tech names, one number is worth watching first: the DXY, the U.S. Dollar Index. | | | | Right now the DXY isn't just a currency story, it's a rate expectations story. A rising dollar signals that markets expect rates to stay higher for longer, which is directly bearish for equities. A falling DXY would signal the opposite: easing rate expectations, looser financial conditions, and a more favorable environment for growth stocks. | | | | The dollar recently rebounded from multi-year lows, meaning conditions have already shifted once. Watch whether that rebound continues or stalls. If the DXY starts rolling lower, it's not just a currency move. It's the market telling you the rate outlook is softening — and that's when the tech dip-buying thesis gets real support. | | | | | | | | | | | Data correct to 12.03.2026 | | | | How would you rate this email? | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | © 2007-2026 Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved. | | | | | | | | To ensure proper delivery and quick loading of images, please add newsletter@investingmail.com to your safe sender list. | | | | Disclaimer:
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GF Awards - Retail | | | | | If you no longer wish to receive emails from us, please follow this link to manage newsletter subscriptions. There is a high level of risk involved when trading leveraged products such as CFDs. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose, it is possible that you may lose more than your entire investment. You should not trade or invest unless you fully understand the true extent of your exposure to the risk of loss. When trading or investing, you must always take into consideration the level of your experience. Copy-trading services imply additional risks to your investment due to nature of such products. If the risks involved seem unclear to you, please apply to an outside specialist for an independent advice. RoboForex Ltd is a financial brokerage company regulated by the FSC, license No. 9759600. | | |
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