American Market Recap | Fed's Goolsbee: Oil futures show this will be a short-run problem (why he's wrong)

Monday, 13 Apr, 2026 Central Banks Fed's Goolsbee: Oil futures show this will be a short-run problem (why he's wrong) Anyone in the oil market would tear that argument apart: The backwardated curve (front at $100, December at $77) doesn't mean "the market thinks prices will fall to $77." It means holders of physical News US-Iran direct talks may resume on Thursday The next round of talks is scheduled for Thursday in Islamabad, according to a source from Iran cited by the Atlantic. That's another positive sign. It seems highly likely that the US thinks it can ge Learn more News Trump: We were called this morning by the right people from Iran Vance has done a good job on Iran talks, they want to make a deal badly Says sticking point is on nuclear Iran didn't agree not to have a nuclear weapon Thinks Iran will now agree on nuclear We'll get News Iran thought they were close to an agreement on Sunday morning - report A new report from Axios' Barak Ravid says Iran was caught off guard by JD Vance leaving talks in Pakistan. Iran thought they were close to an agreement on Sunday morning, he says. The main sticking po Stock market update Stock market update: Tech giants propel amid semiconductor strains Tech Giants Propel Amid Semiconductor Strains Sector Overview Today’s stock market demonstrates a divergent landscape, heavily influenced by movements within the technology sector. The software-infra Stocks US stocks turn positive as US naval blockade of Iran goes into force US stock markets are showing incredible resilience, even as the US starts squeezing off the only traffic hauling oil through the Strait of Hormuz. The blockade went into effect at 10 am ET. The market News US March existing home sales 3.98m vs 4.06m expected Prior was 4.09m Sales -3.6% vs +2.7% prior Median price $408,800, up 1.4% y/y Inventory 4.1 months The National Association of Realtors' existing home sales series measures the annualized transaction News Iran officials are studying abandoning enrichment - report The market is sensing a deal where Iran gives up nuclear and gets basically everything else it's asking for. The thinking is that Trump wants a way out and can't have the Strait closed for much longer Learn more Commodities OPEC says output fell 7.7 mbpd in March. Keeps demand forecast relatively stable OPEC is out today with its latest forecasts and what's notable is the lack of changes. For both 2026 and a whole and 2027, they've left demand forecasts unchanged despite the rise in oil prices. For Q

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European Markets Wrap-Up | Oil prices jump back above $100 after US-Iran negotiations breakdown, Trump's blockade

Monday, 13 Apr, 2026 Commodities Oil prices jump back above $100 after US-Iran negotiations breakdown, Trump's blockade FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Oil prices opened higher today following the breakdown of US-Iran negotiations over the weekend. This shouldn’t be a surprise though given the strong divergence in stances ahead o News Iran: No security for Persian Gulf ports if own is threatened No security for Persian Gulf ports if own is threatened Enemy-affiliated vessels won’t pass through Hormuz US restrictions on vessel movements are illegal and piracy Iran has issued a warning followin Learn more Forex Not yet the start of a downtrend for the dollar - Credit Agricole Credit Agricole was already skeptical about any positive developments from US-Iran talks and their call was vindicated after seeing how things transpired over the weekend. The negotiations broke down Commodities Gold prices come under pressure after the first round of US-Iran talks fail. What's next? FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Gold opened lower today following the breakdown of US-Iran negotiations over the weekend. I don’t think anybody sane expected them to reach an agreement on the first round given t Central Banks BOJ governor Ueda: Underlying inflation gradually accelerating towards target Japanese economy, prices moving roughly in line with BOJ forecasts Financial markets are seeing unstable movements due to conflict in the Middle East Rising oil prices are weighing on Japan's economy News What are the main events for today? EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, we don't have anything on the agenda other than maybe a couple of central bank speakers who are likely to reiterate vigilance amid the geopolitical uncertaint Forex Orders FX option expiries for 13 April 10am New York cut There are just a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below. The first ones are for EUR/USD at the 1.1650 and 1.1700 levels. The dollar has opened with a gap higher today after US News US president Trump reaffirms blockade on Iranian ports starting from later today From his Truth Social post: "The United States to Blockade Ships Entering or Exiting Iranian Ports on April 13 at 10:00 A.M. ET. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DJT" That means Learn more Commodities Oil prices surge after US-Iran talks collapse over the weekend The negotiations between the US and Iran over the weekend failed to produce a deal. In the end, trying to come to a nuclear agreement proved to be a bridge too far. Even though it might just be a sing

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