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Tuesday, March 31, 2026

American Market Recap: Iran Foreign Minister Araghchi: We will not accept a ceasefire, want a complete end to war

Tuesday, 31 Mar, 2026

News

Iran Foreign Minister Araghchi: We will not accept a ceasefire, want a complete end to war

We will not accept a ceasefire but rather seek a complete end to the war, not in Iran alone but in the entire region We have not responded to the US proposals, nor submitted any counter-proposals or c

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News

Huge market rally after Iran's President says they have the will to end the war

Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian said the country is ready to end the war, but only if there are guarantees against future attacks. This isn't particularly new as it's been Iran's position for awhil

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Central Banks

Fed's Schmid: Inflation is the more salient risk for the economy

Schmid is a known hawk and doesn't vote until 2028 so his comments don't carry too much weight: Can't be complacent about inflation expectations Fed must follow through with policy action to validate

News

Iran's Pres.: Iran seeks no war but is prepared to end it with guarantees against attacks

Iran (President Pezeshkian - comments are unconfirmed): Says Iran seeks no war but is prepared to end it with guarantees against further attacks Accusations against US/Israel: Calls military actions u

Technical Analysis

The GBPUSD gives up it's gains. Looks toward the low for the day/low for the year

The GBPUSD initially rode the wave of dollar selling into the U.S. session , pushing higher as broader USD weakness helped lift the pair. However, that momentum faded quickly , and buying interest dri

Technical Analysis

USDJPY moves further from the 160.00 level and cracks below the 200 hour MA target

The USDJPY has rotated lower after failing above the 160.00 level , a key psychological and technical barrier. Recall, the pair broke above that level on Friday, reaching a high of 160.455 , but the b

Technical Analysis

Buyers making a play in the broader stock indices. What technical levels are key?

The buyers in the major stock indices are stepping in after yesterday's cycle lows and new lows for the year , sparking a relief rally. The bounce is notable, but let's be clear— it's still early , an

News

Trump: The Strait of Hormuz will automatically reopen after US exit

Other nations can reopen the Strait Asked about reopening the Strait said "I do not think about it, to be honest" and that his sole goal was nuclear weapon More work to do in Iran war US doesn't have

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News

Iran's Revolutionary Guard names 18 American tech companies for retaliation

Iran's Revolutionary Guard named 18 companies for retaliation after strikes against its companies: Cisco HP Intel Oracle Microsoft Apple Google Meta IBM DEL Palantir Nvidia JP Morgan Tesla GE Spire So

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European Markets Wrap-Up: investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news: Trump open to ending war without Hormuz opening (WSJ)

Tuesday, 31 Mar, 2026

News

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news: Trump open to ending war without Hormuz opening (WSJ)

Global stocks see biggest selling in a year. Hedge funds ramp shorts (Goldman Sachs data) China factory activity hits 1-year high as PMIs return to expansion China March official PMIs: Manufacturing 5

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Stock market update

Global stocks see biggest selling in a year. Hedge funds ramp shorts (Goldman Sachs data)

Summary: Global equities saw largest net selling since April 2025 Marks sixth consecutive week of equity outflows Selling heavily skewed toward short positions (5.6:1 vs longs) North America and Europ

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News

China factory activity hits 1-year high as PMIs return to expansion

China's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.4 in March, a one-year high, with all PMIs returning to expansion, though rising input costs and Middle East war risks threaten the durability of the recovery. Sum

News

China March official PMIs: Manufacturing 50.4 (exp 50) Non-manufacturing 50.1 (exp 49.9)

Just the data. China March official PMIs all retrun to expansion: Manufacturing 50.4 expected 50, prior 49.0 Non-manufacturing 50.1 expected 49.9, prior 49.5 Composite 50.5 expected 50.2, prior 49.5 I

Central Banks

Tokyo inflation cools further but underlying price pressures remain intact

Summary: Tokyo CPI slowed to its weakest pace in four years in March Headline inflation eased to 1.4% (prev. 1.5%) Core CPI (ex-fresh food) slowed to 1.7% (exp. 1.8%) Core-core inflation (ex-food, ene

Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 6.9194 (vs. estimate at 6.9209)

The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. PBOC injects 32.5bn yuan in 7-day reverse repos at 1.4% (unchanged) in open market operations

Commodities

WSJ: Trump open to ending Iran war without reopening Strait of Hormuz

Trump is reportedly open to ending the Iran war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, signalling a shift in priorities, though continued U.S. troop build-up suggests mixed messaging and ongoing risk

Central Banks

RBA March Minutes: Members agreed further tightening would likely be needed

Full text is here. Summary: RBA minutes after March hike was a tightly split 5-4 decision Board agreed financial conditions needed to be restrictive Members agreed further tightening would likely be n

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News

NZ business confidence and activity collapse. Inflation pressures remain elevated.

Summary: ANZ Business Confidence (Mar): 32.5 (prev. 59.2) ANZ Activity Outlook (Mar): 39.3 (prev. 52.6) ANZ Business Outlook shows weak business confidence persists Inflation indicators remain elevate

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