Asia Market Movers: Trump advisers urge Iran war exit plan amid epic oil price surge. Epic Blunder?

Tuesday, 10 Mar, 2026 Commodities Trump advisers urge Iran war exit plan amid epic oil price surge. Epic Blunder? Trump faces pressure from advisers to outline Iran war exit plan as oil prices surge. This is via the Wall Street Journal (gated), in brief below: Summary: Some advisers to Donald Trump are urging him News Recap - Japan upgrades Q4 GDP to 1.3% on strong investment, Iran war clouds outlook Japan's GDP growth revised sharply higher as investment strengthens, but energy risks cloud outlook. Summary: Japan's fourth-quarter GDP growth was revised sharply higher to 1.3% annualised, far above Learn more Central Banks PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.8982 (vs. estimate at 6.8891) The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. PBOC injects 39.5bn yuan via 7-day reverse repos at 1.4% in open market operations today. News Iran plans shipping levies in Gulf. Trump warns massive retaliation if oil flows disrupted Iran signals shipping pressure in Gulf while Trump warns of massive retaliation if oil flows are disrupted. Summary: Iran is reportedly preparing "security duties" on ships linked to U.S.-allied count News Australian business confidence turns negative as conditions hold steady (pre war survey) Australian business conditions hold steady while confidence slips into negative territory. Note - this survey was taken before the war. With the surge in energy prices confidence will not have improve Commodities Iran rejects Trump's claims of progress in war, warns regional oil exports could halt Summary: Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) responded sharply to recent comments from Donald Trump, saying Tehran, not Washington, will determine when the war ends. The IRGC warned that i Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8891 – Reuters estimate The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch News UK consumer spending remains subdued as inflation fears rise and wage growth firms Summary: UK consumer spending grew modestly in February, rising 1.1% year-on-year, highlighting fragile household demand. Sentiment weakened as the Middle East conflict raised fears of higher fuel pri Learn more News Japan Q4 GDP final revision improves from a porr preliminary result Japanese GDP Q4 2025, final. 0.3% q/q expected 0.3%, prior -0.6% Annualized 1.3% expected 1.2%, prior -2.3% GDP inflation measure 3.4% y/y expected 3.4%, prior 3.5% --- External Demand 0% q/q expected

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