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Wednesday, March 18, 2026

American Market Recap: Fed's Powell: Consumer spending has been resilient and business investment has expanded

Wednesday, 18 Mar, 2026

Central Banks

Fed's Powell: Consumer spending has been resilient and business investment has expanded

Housing sector activity has been weak Labor demand has clearly softened Other labor indicators have been little changed Elevated inflation expectations in near term have risen Elevated inflation large

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Commodities

Oil gains fade as Iran's gas company says situation in Pars expected to return to normal

The image shown here was from video (or at least purported video) of the Pars gas processing station in Iran, or something nearby. It's clearly in flames but earlier there were reports that the fire w

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Central Banks

The changes in the statement from January to March 2026

Here's a summary of the three changes made from January to March: Change 1 — Unemployment language (Paragraph 1): The Fed softened its characterization. "Has shown some signs of stabilization" was rep

Central Banks

FOMC March 2026 dot plot and central tendencies of economic forecasts.

The dot plot from Federal Reserve members outlining the projection for rates at the end of 2026, 2027 and 2028. For 2026, the expected end of year rate is at 3.4%, unchanged from Decembers estimate. T

Central Banks

The full statement from the March 2026 FOMC rate decision

March 18, 2026 Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have remained low, a

Central Banks

FOMC rate decision: No change

No change was expected Fed funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, unchanged More headlines: Fed says implications of developments in Middle East for U.S. economy are uncertain Uncertainty about the economic outloo

Central Banks

Deep dive on the 2026 dot. What to watch for

The market wants to know how many Fed rate cuts are coming in 2026 and the clearest indication of that will come in the Fed's dot plot, to be released along with the FOMC decision at 2 pm ET. Looking

Central Banks

What's priced in for the Federal Reserve ahead of the FOMC decision

The Federal Reserve interest rate decision is at 2 pm ET and the chances of any move on the 3.50-3.75% Fed funds rate is nearly nil. Looking further out, the market is seeing less of a chance of rate

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Commodities

Geopolitical headlines continue to roll in

A wave of headlines crossed the wires in the final minutes of trading, adding to an already tense backdrop. On the political front, President Trump appears to be distancing himself from rising gasolin

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