Asia Market Movers: WSJ: Trump open to ending Iran war without reopening Strait of Hormuz

Tuesday, 31 Mar, 2026 Commodities WSJ: Trump open to ending Iran war without reopening Strait of Hormuz Trump is reportedly open to ending the Iran war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, signalling a shift in priorities, though continued U.S. troop build-up suggests mixed messaging and ongoing risk Central Banks RBA March Minutes: Members agreed further tightening would likely be needed Full text is here. Summary: RBA minutes after March hike was a tightly split 5-4 decision Board agreed financial conditions needed to be restrictive Members agreed further tightening would likely be n Learn more News NZ business confidence and activity collapse. Inflation pressures remain elevated. Summary: ANZ Business Confidence (Mar): 32.5 (prev. 59.2) ANZ Activity Outlook (Mar): 39.3 (prev. 52.6) ANZ Business Outlook shows weak business confidence persists Inflation indicators remain elevate News Australia to scrap junior pay rates for 18–20-year-olds in major wage shift Summary: Fair Work Commission to abolish junior pay rates for 18–20-year-olds Around 500,000 workers set to benefit across retail, fast food and pharmacies Pay increases to be phased in over up to fou Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9209 – Reuters estimate The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch News Japan February retail sales drop below expected and prior, industrial output soft also We had CPI data earlier: Japan Tokyo Core CPI 1.7% y/y , below expected and prior both 1.8% Now retail and industry: I'll have more to come on this separately News Japan Tokyo Core CPI 1.7% y/y , below expected and prior both 1.8% I'll have more to come on this separately. In brief, less pressure on the BoJ to hike with these numbers: Tokyo area March core CPI rises at slowest pace since April 2024 Tokyo area March core-core CP Central Banks Australia confidence hits record low and inflation expectations hit record high Summary: ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence hits fresh record low Inflation expectations surge to a new record high Households increasingly pessimistic on economic outlook Cost-of-living pressures rem Learn more Central Banks UK shop price inflation rises as Iran war lifts supply chain costs Summary: UK shop price inflation ticks up to 1.2% y/y in March (prev. 1.1%) Retailers warn Iran war is beginning to lift supply chain costs Food inflation eases slightly, non-food prices turn positive

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