European Markets Wrap-Up: Eurozone June preliminary CPI +2.8% vs +3.0% y/y expected

Wednesday, 01 Jul, 2026 News Eurozone June preliminary CPI +2.8% vs +3.0% y/y expected CPI +2.8% vs +3.0% y/y expected Prior +3.2% Core CPI +2.4% vs +2.5% y/y expected Prior +2.6% More to come.. News Indirect technical talks between US and Iran said to be underway in Doha - report The headlines note that Qatar and Pakistan are serving as mediators for the "indirect" technical talks at the moment. Adding that the session is involving chief negotiators and specialist teams from b Learn more News UK June final manufacturing PMI 52.5 vs 53.1 prelim Prior 53.9 Key findings : UK manufacturing output rises at fastest rate since September 2024 Output growth accelerates New orders rise at slower pace Comment : Rob Dobson, Director at S&P Global M Central Banks ECB policymaker Nagel says he will keep options open for July and September decisions I will keep options open for July and September decisions Inflation will stay on high level this year Inflation will stay above target in 2027 June move wasn't an insurance hike ECB's Nagel said he wi News Eurozone manufacturing activity eases in June but price pressures are abating - PMI data Final manufacturing PMI 51.4 vs 51.3 prelim Prior 51.6 The overall euro area manufacturing sector still posted growth in June but activity declined to a four-month low. That comes despite a marginal i News Germany June final manufacturing PMI 50.3 vs 50.0 prelim Prior was 50.1 Key findings : Manufacturing sector posts modest output growth as cost pressures show first signs of easing Output growth ticks up slightly amid renewed, albeit marginal, rise in new or News French manufacturing bounces back in June but with a caveat as output, new orders fall Final manufacturing PMI 51.2 vs 50.7 prelim Prior 49.7 The final estimate is revised higher but the better reading in June comes with a bit of a caveat (as highlighted in bold below). Both output and News Italy June manufacturing PMI 52.2 vs 52.4 expected Prior 52.9 Key findings : Price pressures cool and supply chain disruption fades in June Growth in new orders and output slows as demand from stockpiling weakens Prices data point to weakest rates of Learn more News Swiss manufacturing activity growth eases in June - PMI data Manufacturing PMI 54.3 vs 56.5 expected Prior 57.3 Swiss manufacturing activity growth eases in June as both production and new orders also drop on the month. Of note, the latter dropped noticeably to

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Asia Market Movers: MUFG: Japan's FX warnings fall short of signalling imminent yen intervention

Wednesday, 01 Jul, 2026 Central Banks MUFG: Japan's FX warnings fall short of signalling imminent yen intervention MUFG's read is that verbal intervention risk is rising but not yet at the threshold that has historically preceded actual yen-buying operations, which argues against positioning for imminent BoJ or Mo News Japan June Manufacturing PMI (final) 54.8 (vs. preliminary 54.9, prior 54.5) A 54.8 print marks a sixth straight month of expansion and the best quarterly run since Q1 2014, a headline strong enough to support yen-positive sentiment on the growth side, though the detail compli Learn more Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7795 – Reuters estimate The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch Central Banks Japan firms lift inflation expectations as Tankan sentiment beats forecasts The combination of firmer inflation expectations and a sentiment beat across nearly every Tankan category strengthens the case for the BoJ to keep normalising policy, particularly with big manufacture Commodities WSJ: Trump weighs all-out war on Iran but opts to stick with talks Confirmation that full-scale strike options remain on the table, even if shelved for now, keeps a geopolitical risk premium embedded in oil and freight markets, particularly given the unresolved stand News Confirmed - Lutnick announces Anthropic Fable 5 approved U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick: approving the removal of Fable 5's export restrictions Mythos 5 approved too Anthropic says will turn them both back on on Wednesday Earlier: Politico reports that US Central Banks RBNZ preview: Westpac see July 8 rate hold. Tightening cycle still in effect, pared back A lower projected OCR peak and a softer tightening path than Westpac had pencilled in only a few months ago is a moderately dovish revision for rates markets, even as the bank still expects two furthe News Australia Manufacturing PMI (final) 51.5 (flash reading 51.2, prior 50.7). 5 month high. A third straight month above 50 with the index at a five-month high gives the headline print a constructive look, but the underlying mix is softer than the number suggests, with output falling for a f Learn more Central Banks ICYMI: BoE's Bailey says won't rush to raise rates on oil-driven inflation spike Bailey's comments reinforce a patient BoE reaction function, leaning against any near-term case for a rate move despite inflation set to climb to 3.2% later this year. His framing that the bond market

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