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Friday, March 20, 2026

American Market Recap: The Fed funds futures market is now pricing in a 30% chance of a US rate hike

Friday, 20 Mar, 2026

Central Banks

The Fed funds futures market is now pricing in a 30% chance of a US rate hike

The market is sensing that energy prices will stay higher for longer as the US and Israel struggle to define a plan for peace and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Trump today in a Truth Social post sai

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Stocks

NASDAQ index down -2% and S&P index down -1.5%

As we head into the close, the major US stock indices are pressing to new lows for the day and the week , with downside momentum building. The S&P 500 is down nearly 1.5% , while the NASDAQ has ex

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News

US made detailed preparations for potential ground troops in Iran - report

Pentagon officials have made detailed preparations for deploying US ground forces into Iran, according to a CBS report . The report says Trump is deliberating whether to position ground forces in the

News

US assessment: Iran could keep Hormuz shut for anywhere from one to six months

CNN is out with a report highlighting the difficulty of reopening the Strait of Hormuz: US officials are furiously trying to avert a potential months-long closure of the Strait of Hormuz, privately ac

News

Iran unwilling to discuss Hormuz while under attack - report

A Bloomberg report citing an Iranian official says that Iran is sticking to its hardline position on the Strait of Hormuz and unwilling to discuss opening it while it's under attack. The report says:

Technical Analysis

USDCAD sellers had their shot. They missed. What now technically for the USDCAD traders?

The USDCAD opened near the highs from earlier this month at 1.3752 , but upside momentum stalled when the price failed to extend above yesterday's high at 1.37476 . That failure prompted buyers to tur

Technical Analysis

The price of gold is back below its 100 day MA. Yesterday's break failed.

The price of gold is under notable pressure today, falling sharply by about $90, or -1.93%, to trade near the $4565 level. That decline has pushed the price back below its 100-day moving average at $4

Stocks

SMCI stock implodes: Supermicro down 27% after co-founder arrested

Why is it always the meme stocks where they find the fraud? Supermicro shares are getting absolutely destroyed on Friday, down 27% and hitting fresh 52-week lows after federal prosecutors unsealed an

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Technical Analysis

USD moves to new highs for the day. 10 year yield rises to 4.40%

The USD 10 year yield is trading up to 4.407%. That is the highest level going back to August 1, 2025.. The yield is up over 10 basis points this week. Yields are up around 45 basis points since low o

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