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Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Fundamental: Commodity prices, the US dollar and stagflation risk

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Alert Alert Feb 28, 2023, 8:58am
 
Fundamental: Commodity prices, the US dollar and stagflation risk
Fluctuations in commodity prices and the US dollar exchange rate significantly affect the risk of stagflation. Using quarterly data from 22 commodity-importing economies for the past 30 years, we find that higher commodity prices and dollar appreciation each raise the odds of weak growth and high inflation. Stagflation risk increases by more when the two ...
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