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Friday, October 31, 2025

European Markets Wrap-Up: Eurozone October preliminary CPI +2.1% vs +2.1% y/y expected

Friday, 31 Oct, 2025

News

Eurozone October preliminary CPI +2.1% vs +2.1% y/y expected

Prior +2.2% Core CPI Y/Y +2.4% vs +2.3% expected Prior +2.4% Full report here Slight downtick in the headline inflation but the core figure remained unchanged. This won't change anything for the ECB,

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Central Banks

ECB's Simkus: In the medium-term, the projected indicators are aligned with the 2% target

Markets are currently not expecting a significant change Again, there's nothing new here. Expect to hear the same stuff over and over again for more weeks. They just keep on repeating that they are fi

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Central Banks

ECB survey: Long-term inflation expectations unchanged at 2%

HICP for 2025 revised up by 0.1% to 2.1%. 2026 and 2027 unchanged at 1.8% and 2.0% respectively Real GDP 1.2% for 2025, 1.1% for 2026 and 1.4% for 2027 Unemployment rate to average 6.3% for 2025 and 2

Stocks

Nvidia CEO Huang: Hope the Blackwell can be sold in China

Hope the Blackwell can be sold in China but that's a decision for President Trump to make China makes plenty of AI chips itself, and Chinese military have plenty of access to chips made in China China

Central Banks

ECB's Kazaks: Risks to growth and inflation are more balanced

The ECB will move when needed but shouldn't be jumpy Margin of error around 2028 outlook will be large Expect to hear more of the same from ECB speakers as they get out of the blackout period. For the

Central Banks

ECB's Muller: Current level of interest rates is appropriate

Economic situation has gradually improved As expected, they are all coming out with the same old message, that is the current monetary policy is appropriate and there's no need to think about adjustin

News

France October preliminary CPI (HICP) +0.9% vs +1.0% y/y expected

Prior +1.1% CPI M/M +0.1% vs +0.1% expected Prior -1.1% Full report here From the agency: Over a year, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) should rise by 1.0% in October 2025, after +1

Central Banks

ECB's Rehn: No major changes to outlook since September meeting

Keeping interest rates unchanged was justified There are both upside and downside risks to growth and inflation There is considerable uncertainty about the inflation outlook for the coming years Overa

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News

Switzerland September retail sales Y/Y +1.5% vs +0.2% expected

Prior -0.2% (revised to -0.4%) This is not a market-moving report and won't change anything for the SNB for sure.

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