Asia Market Movers | Economists warn sticky inflation may force RBA back into rate hikes in 2026

Monday, 05 Jan, 2026 Central Banks Economists warn sticky inflation may force RBA back into rate hikes in 2026 Summary: Economists see inflation remaining sticky through 2026 Growing risk of RBA rate hikes, possibly from February Late-2025 inflation rebound shifted policy expectations Housing, services and lab News China Rating Dog December 2025 Services PMI 52.0 (expected 52.0, prior 52.1) Summary: China services PMI remained in expansion but slowed further in December New orders grew at the weakest pace in six months Export services demand slipped back into contraction Job shedding con Learn more Commodities Gold and silver on fire in Asia trade, Monday, January 5, 2026 ICYMI: US attacks Venezuela, captures President Maduro Happy New Year, especially to Venezuelans! Monday early FX rates guide Venezuela - Goldman sees 2026 Brent at $56 & WTI at $52, flags longer- Central Banks PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0230 (vs. estimate at 6..9952) The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate sy News Trump claims control of Venezuela, warns Colombia and Mexico could be next Suymmary: Trump reaffirmed US control over post-Maduro Venezuela US says it is working with newly sworn-in leaders in Caracas Washington will not invest in Venezuela, despite oil company interest Trum News Japan's Final December manufacturing PMI 50.0 (vs. preliminary 49.7, prior 48.7) Summary: Japan's manufacturing PMI returned to neutral territory in December New orders fell at the slowest pace in 19 months Output stabilised and employment growth accelerated modestly Input prices Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9952 – Reuters estimate The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch Central Banks Yen doing what it does best ... ****ing the bed again. USD/JPY back above 157.00. Summary: Yen weakened as the dollar opened the first full week of the new year on a firm footing USD/JPY pushed back toward the upper end of recent ranges Rate differentials continue to weigh on the J Learn more Commodities Venezuela - Goldman sees 2026 Brent at $56 & WTI at $52, flags longer-term downside risks Summary: Goldman Sachs left its near-term price forecasts unchanged, projecting average prices of $56 per barrel for Brent crude and $52 for West Texas Intermediate this year. Goldman sees limited nea

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