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Thursday, December 19, 2024

European Markets Wrap-Up: BOE leaves bank rate unchanged at 4.75%, as expected

BOE leaves bank rate unchanged at 4.75%, as expected

Prior 4.75% Bank rate vote 6-3 vs 8-1 expected (Dhingra, Ramsden, Taylor voted to cut bank rate by 25 bps) A gradual approach to future interest rate cuts remains right We can't commit to when or by h... 

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Russell 2000 Technical Analysis

Fundamental Overview The Russell 2000 yesterday sold off aggressively following the FOMC decision as the market perceived it as more hawkish than expected. Overall, apart from some slight tweaks, the... 

ECB's Patsalides: I prefer small, gradual rate cuts

Don't see persistent economic stagnation, inflation undershooting A 50 bps move would require projections showing persistent undershooting of inflation Don't see a situation where rates would need to... 

Weekly update on interest rate expectations

Rate cuts by year-end Fed 2025: 36 bps (92% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) ECB 2025: 110 bps (93% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) BoE 2025: 47 bps (50% probability... 

What to expect from the BOE later and after today's meeting decision?

On the bank rate vote, here's what the calls are: Barclays: 8-1 vote for a hold but minor possibility it could be as much as 6-3 BofA: 8-1 vote for a hold with risks for a 9-0 Deustche: 9-0 vote for a... 

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Latest Forex Orders

FX option expiries for 19 December 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold . And they are for EUR/USD once again, layered between 1.0365 to 1.0400. The pair is catching a notable downside break under 1.040... 

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