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Thursday, January 30, 2025

European Markets Wrap-Up: A clash in month-end FX rebalancing signals this month - Deutsche

A clash in month-end FX rebalancing signals this month - Deutsche

Deutsche says that their month-end FX model is hinting at conflicting signals from a relative equity performance versus a seasonal performance standpoint. The firm says that rebalancing flows on the b... 

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Weekly update on interest rate expectations

Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 48 bps (80% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) ECB: 93 bps (94% probability of rate cut at today's decision) BoE: 71 bps (85% probability of rate cut at the u... 

Eurozone January final consumer confidence -14.2 vs -14.2 prelim

Prior -14.5 Economic confidence 95.2 vs 94.1 expected Prior 93.7 Industrial confidence -12.9 vs -13.8 expected Prior -14.1 Services confidence 6.6 vs 6.0 expected Prior 5.9; revised to 5.7 Slight dela... 

Eurozone Q4 flash GDP +0.0% vs +0.1% q/q expected

Prior +0.4% GDP Q4 Y/Y +0.9% vs +1.0% expected Prior +0.9% Among the Member States for which data are available for the fourth quarter of 2024, Portugal (+1.5%) recorded the highest increase compared... 

Eurozone December unemployment rate 6.3% vs 6.3% expected

Prior 6.3%; revised to 6.2% It is a slight increase in the jobless rate to wrap up the year but still lower than where it was in January at least i.e. 6.5%.... 

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Latest Forex Orders

FX option expiries for Wednesday, January 29, 2025, 10am New York cut

EUR/USD 1.0300 (EUR1.76bn) 1.0500 (EUR1.25bn) 1.0600 (EUR1.05bn) USD/JPY 155.00 (US$1.39bn) 148.00 (US$930mn) USD/CAD 1.4500 (US$1.29bn) 1.4190 (US$414mn) AUD/USD: 0.6220 (AUD580mn) 0.6350 (AUD441mn)... 

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