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Wednesday, November 19, 2025

American Market Recap: The FOMC Minutes are coming up next

Wednesday, 19 Nov, 2025

Central Banks

The FOMC Minutes are coming up next

The market is down to pricing in just a 30% chance of a December Fed cut and the Dec/Jan combined odds are 86%. Generally, I'm inclined to ignore the FOMC Minutes and focus on data but since we've got

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News

It's not a good sign when they talk about an 'everything rally'

The weird thing about trading is that one of the best indications you can get is from sentiment but it's almost always better to go against it. So much of what you're trying to do is gauge sentiment.

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News

US sells 20-year bonds at 4.706% vs 4.704% WI

0.2 basis point tail I don't think that's going to move the broader market.

Technical Analysis

AUDUSD Technicals: AUDUSD falls below the 200 day MA. Can the momentum continue?

The AUDUSD is pressing to fresh session lows, and in doing so has broken decisively below the 200-day moving average at 0.6458 . That's notable because the pair has not traded below the 200-day MA sin

News

Ukraine peace plan would surrender Donbas and halve its armed forces

There are more details on the 28-point peace plan the US has floated to Russia and Ukraine. It would require Ukraine to abandon the Donbass region that it still controls. The full details aren't revea

News

BLS cancels October jobs report

There is going to be a forever reminder of the US government shutdown on the chart. As rumored, the BLS won't release the October jobs report. For the establishment survey, which is the headline numbe

Commodities

Gold reverses early gains and slumps into negative territory

The early enthusiasm in all markets have faded. Gold has been caught in that, as a $45 gain has turned into a $10 loss, with the selling accelerating as it went red. When you zoom out, the chart conti

News

If art prices are any indication...

The picture you're looking at is the most-expensive modern art ever sold and the 2nd most-expensive art of any kind ever sold at auction. It's Gustav Klimt's portrait of Elisabeth Lederer and it sold

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Technical Analysis

USDJPY Technical: The USDJPY has stretched to the topside target at 156.733. Key level.

In yesterday's USDJPY video, I highlighted the upside roadmap given the strong trend bias. At the time, I noted that a break above 155.43 would open the door toward the next target at 155.88 , and tha

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