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Wednesday, October 8, 2025

American Market Recap: FOMC Minutes: Most participants judged it likely appropriate to ease further in 2025

Wednesday, 08 Oct, 2025

Central Banks

FOMC Minutes: Most participants judged it likely appropriate to ease further in 2025

More to come

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Central Banks

FOMC Minutes coming up at the top of the hour

This edition is a real risk. The market is 92% priced for a cut in December and 88% priced for a December cut. The later one looks particularly vulnerable to me as some Fed officials aren't convinced

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News

Republican bill to end the US government shut down fails to win enough votes in the Senate

The Democratic vote failed to end the government shutdown earlier. The Republican bill to do the same has also failed. A total of 60 votes are needed to pass the bill to end the shutdown.

News

U.S. Treasury auctions off $39 billion of 10 year notes at a high yield of 4.117%

High-yield 4.117%. Tail 0.3 basis points versus 6 month average of -0.9 basis points. Bid to cover 2.48X versus 6 month average up 2.57X. Directs 24.1% vs 6 month average of 16.3%. Indirects 66.8% ver

News

The U.S. Treasury is to auction off $39 billion of 10 year notes at the top of the hour

The US treasury is to auction off $39 billion of 10 year notes at the top of the hour. The auction results will be compared to the 6 month averages of the major components. Those averages show: Bid to

News

Democratic bill to end the US government shutdown fails to win enough votes

A Democratic bill to end the US government shutdown failed to win enough votes. The shutdown started on October 1. It is now day 8 with no real end in sight. In the meantime, the US stock market is no

Technical Analysis

EURUSD and GBPUSD rotate back down to lows after successful test of overhead resistance

Both the EURUSD and GBPUSD attempted upside moves earlier in the session but ultimately failed to sustain momentum, rotating back to the downside. For the EURUSD , the pair had been trading above and

Commodities

Silver hits a record high, breaking the 2011 peak

if this isn't a double top, it could go a long way from here. When silver goes, it tends to really squeeze.

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News

European stock markets power to strong gains: Looks like a breakout in the DAX

Closing changes on the day: Stoxx 600 +0.8% German DAX +1.0% France CAC +1.2% UK FTSE 100 +0.8% Spain IBEX +1.1% Italy's FTSE MIB +1.1% European stock markets finished at the best levels of the day as

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