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Wednesday, November 5, 2025

American Market Recap: Trump says he expects GDP growth in Q3 of 4.2% or more

Wednesday, 05 Nov, 2025

News

Trump says he expects GDP growth in Q3 of 4.2% or more

Trump is making a speech on the economy and said he expects Q3 GDP of 4.2%. We aren't getting any numbers right now so it will be awhile before we get Q3 data. The real question right now is Q4, which

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Stock market update

European indices close higher on the day led by the UK's FTSE 100

European indices close higher on the day led by the UK's FTSE 100 with a gain of 0.64%. A snapshot of the closing levels shows: German DAX, +0.42% France's CAC +0.08% UK's FTSE 100, +0.64% Spain's Ibe

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Commodities

Crude oil technicals: The price of crude oil has been confined in a narrrow range.

The price of crude oil has been confined in an up-and-down trading range over the last 7 or so trading days between a low of $59.64 and a high near $61.45. Those levels are within swing levels on eit

Forex

Treasury yields break to the highest since early October

The bond market has been struggling to assess the economy due to the lack of economic data but today we got two reports: ADP employment at +42K vs +28K expected ISM services at 52.4 vs 50.8 expected A

News

US stocks move to new highs led by the Nasdaq

The broader US stock indices are trading to new highs with the S&P up 0.52% or 35.79 points at 6806.25. The Nasdaq is up 178 points or 0.76% at 23557. The Dow is up as well but below its earlier h

Central Banks

Fed's Miran: The ADP report was a welcome surprise

Job market trends pre-shutdown are still in place Job market data indicates interest rates could be lower than current levels Increasing uncertainty about the tariffs could create an economic drag Spo

Technical Analysis

AUDUSD Technicals: AUDUSD has seen volatile up & down price action, and is back at highs

The AUDUSD has experienced choppy, two-way volatility today — down, up, down, and back up again. In the early Asian session, the pair dipped below a swing-area target near 0.6463 , but sellers couldn'

Commodities

US EIA weekly crude oil inventories +5202K vs +603K expected

Prior was -6858 Gasoline -4729K vs -1140K expected Distillates -643K vs -1969K expected This report is bearish. API inventory data from late yesterday: Crude +6500K Gasoline -5653K Distillates -2459K

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Technical Analysis

The USDJPY moves to new highs after the stronger ISM non-manufacturing data

U.S. yields are pushing to new highs after another round of stronger-than-expected data. The ISM non-manufacturing index beat forecasts, reinforcing the upbeat tone set earlier by a solid ADP employme

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