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Wednesday, January 28, 2026

American Market Recap: Federal Reserve rate decision: No change to Fed funds, as expected

Wednesday, 28 Jan, 2026

Central Banks

Federal Reserve rate decision: No change to Fed funds, as expected

Vote was 10-2 with Waller and Miran voting for cuts Prior Fed funds target range was 3.50-3.75% Statement saw growth at a 'solid pace' vs 'moderate pace' previously Statement sees inflation as 'somewh

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Central Banks

For reference: The December FOMC statement

The FOMC decision is coming up at the top of the hour. Here was what it said in December. Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace. Job gains have slo

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Central Banks

ECB's Schnabel says rates expected to remain at current levels for an extended period

This comment is no surprise to the market, which is pricing in about a 20% chance of a rate cut this year. However I think it's the first time a top ECB official has said the "extended period" line.

News

No indications that Iran is willing to give into US demands

The US has outlined a number of demands to Iran but the NYT reports that there is no indication from Iran that they're giving into any of them, or even willing to negotiate them. US President ⁠Donald

Stocks

The storage supercycle is going parabolic. Huge moves in STX and SNDK stock

The "AI infrastructure" trade has moved from chips to storage, and the moves are becoming meme-like. We have seen a historic repricing in the memory and storage sector in the past few months. If you t

Technical Analysis

S&P 500 Technical Analysis, Big Picture View (See Video)

S&P 500 Technical Analysis Today Order Flow Highlights the Key Levels Buyers and Sellers Are Watching Date: January 28, 2026 Market focus: S&P 500 futures (ES) Framework: orderFlow Intel by in

Central Banks

BOC's Macklem: There's a clear consensus that it's tough to predict direction of next move

If an accumulation of evidence or a shock comes, we're prepared to change our stance if something crystallizes, we will assess Canadian firms' adjustments to US tariffs will last at least through end-

Commodities

US oil inventories post a surprise drawdown

Prior was +3602K Gasoline +223K vs 1009K exp Distillates +329K vs -583K exp Refinery utilization -2.4% vs -2.0% prior The private data from late yesterday showed: Crude -247K Gasoline -415K Distillate

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Forex

US dollar climbs after Bessent reiterates strong dollar policy, says not intervening

The US dollar jumped, particularly against the yen after comments from the Treasury Secretary: We have a strong dollar policy US not intervening in the currency market to support the Japanese yen On t

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