Asia Market Movers: Full year trade data out from China, exports and imports both up y/y

Wednesday, 14 Jan, 2026 News Full year trade data out from China, exports and imports both up y/y Full year data out from China. 2025 yuan-denominated: Exports +6.1% y/y Imports +0.5% y/y Two-way trade value at 45.47 trln yuan, +3.8% y/y. A record high. Of more interest is the December trade trade News World Bank lifts global growth outlook but warns of weakest decade since 1960s Summary: World Bank lifts global growth forecasts for 2025–26 Global GDP seen at 2.6% in 2026, 2.7% in 2027 US resilience drives bulk of upward revision Emerging market growth remains structurally wea Learn more Central Banks PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 7.0120 (vs. estimate at 6.9807) The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain range, called a "band," around a central reference rate, or "midpoint." It's cu Stock market update Japan stocks hit records as snap election (for February 8?) talk weakens yen Summary: Japan stocks extend rally on snap election speculation Nikkei breaks above 54,000 for first time Markets price fiscal stimulus and stopgap budget risk Yen weakens past 159, lowest since July Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9807 – Reuters estimate The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch Commodities New Zealand data: ANZ commodity index falls as dairy slides, meat and wool hit records Summary: ANZ world commodity index down 2.1% m/m in December Dairy prices slide 5.3%; butter plunges 16.9% Meat and wool prices hit record for fourth month Strong NZD drags local currency index lower Commodities ICYMI from Reuters: drone strikes hit Black Sea tankers as Kazakh output drops Summary: Reuters: drones hit two tankers in Black Sea Ships were bound for terminal loading most Kazakh crude Kazakhstan output down ~35% Jan 1–12 on constraints CPC exports continue via one mooring a Central Banks More from Fed's Barkin, sees encouraging CPI, stresses policy flexibility Summary: Barkin downplays importance of any single Fed meeting Says policy mistakes can be corrected over time CPI data seen as encouraging Shelter inflation still distorted by data gaps Tariffs remai Learn more Cryptocurrency Bitcoin has hit its highest against the USD in 2 months Bitcoin above USD94,725, best for beleaguered crypto since 17 November last year.

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