American Market Recap: How the White House will pivot if the Supreme Court strikes down current tariffs

Thursday, 08 Jan, 2026 News How the White House will pivot if the Supreme Court strikes down current tariffs If the Supreme Court limits the President's use of IEEPA in the Learning Resources case, the administration will certainly pivot to other legislative tools, as Bessent references here. But if those to News Preview: December non-farm payrolls by the numbers. Finally past the shutdown fog What's expected: Consensus estimate +60K (range +19K to +155K) November +64K Private consensus estimate +64K Unemployment rate consensus estimate: 4.5% vs 4.6% prior Participation rate consensus 62.5% Learn more News Atlanta Fed Q4 GDPNow 5.4% vs 2.7% prior From the Atlanta Fed: The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.4 percent on January 8, up from 2.7 percent on January 5. After News New York Fed survey sees rising one-year consumer inflation expectations, jobs angst One year inflation expectations +3.4% vs +3.2% Three-year inflation unchanged at 3.0% Five year inflation unchanged at 3.0% Job-finding expectations hit record low Expectations of home price growth un News US October wholesale inventories +0.2% vs +0.2% expected Prior was +0.5% Wholesale trade sales -0.4% vs -0.2% exp It's not clear whether we will get the Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker but there should be a big rise in the Q4 data due to strong trade numbers ear Stock market update Tech stocks teeter as healthcare lifts the market Sector Overview Today's market landscape reveals a mixed bag of performances across various sectors. The technology sector , led by giants like Microsoft (MSFT) and Oracle (ORCL), showed slight losse Forex US dollar rallies as GDP forecasts rise following strong trade data The US dollar reaction immediately after the October trade data was tepid, with about 10 pips of gains in USD/JPY but that's since stretched to 35 pips. USD/JPY 10 minute chart As I highlighted with t Technical Analysis The USD is little changed to start the US trading session. What are the technicals saying. USD trading quietly as FX volatility compresses sharply The USD is little changed on the day , with price action defined by very narrow, two-way trading ranges across the major currency pairs. Volatil Learn more News US initial jobless claims 208K versus 210K estimate. Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Jan 3) Initial claims: 208K , +8K vs last week (prior week revised up to 200K ) Weekly revision: Last week revised +1K (199K → 200K) 4-week moving average: 211.8K ,

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