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Thursday, January 8, 2026

Asia Market Movers: RBA’s Hauser downplays CPI relief, says rate cuts unlikely anytime soon

Thursday, 08 Jan, 2026

Central Banks

RBA's Hauser downplays CPI relief, says rate cuts unlikely anytime soon

Summary: RBA says November CPI largely as expected, "not a lot of news" Inflation above target, with core still sticky at 3.2% Deputy governor reiterates rate cuts unlikely anytime soon Black Friday s

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News

China accused of hacking U.S. congressional staff emails in Salt Typhoon cyber campaign

Summary: China allegedly hacked emails of U.S. congressional staff Targeted committees include China, intelligence, defence and foreign affairs Linked to cyber campaign known as "Salt Typhoon" U.S. of

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Commodities

US oil majors seek guarantees before investing in Venezuela as Trump pushes output revival

Summary: Trump administration urges U.S. oil majors to invest in Venezuela Executives demand strong legal/financial guarantees before committing Policy uncertainty and past expropriation risks remain

Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0197 (vs. estimate at )

The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate sy

News

DATA: Australia November 2025 Trade Balance +2936mn AUD (expected +4900mn)

Data post only, I'll have more detail in a separate post. Australia November 2025: Trade Balance +2,936mn expected +4900mn, prior +4,385mn Exports -2.9% m/m prior +3.4% Imports +0.2% m/m prior +2.0%

Central Banks

South Korea warns on won volatility, signals swift action and equity-inflow measures

Summary: Finance ministry flags heightened FX volatility and readiness to act Officials argue won moves don't reflect fundamentals Verbal intervention aims to deter one-way/speculative momentum Equity

Central Banks

PBOC rolls CNY 1.1tn repos to keep liquidity ample as Q1 funding needs rise

Summary: PBOC rolls CNY 1.1tn via three-month outright reverse repos Structure uses fixed quantity, multi-price bidding Signals liquidity stability, not necessarily new net easing Supports early-year

Central Banks

Japan real wages slide sharply in November, posing a key dilemma for the Bank of Japan

Summary: Japan real wages fell 2.8% y/y in November Sharp drop in bonus payments weighed on incomes Nominal wage growth slowed to 0.5% y/y Inflation stayed elevated at 3.3% Wage-inflation gap remains

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News

DATA: Japan November 2025 real wages -2.8% y/y

Data post only, I'll be back with details separately. Real Cash Earnings -2.8% y/y expected -1.2%, prior -0.8% Overtime Pay +1.20% y/y expected +1.4%, prior +1.5% Average Cash Earnings +0.5% y/y expec

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