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Friday, January 9, 2026

Asia Market Movers: China inflation hits near three-year high, but producer deflation signals weak demand

Friday, 09 Jan, 2026

News

China inflation hits near three-year high, but producer deflation signals weak demand

Summary: China CPI rose 0.8% y/y, fastest since Feb 2023 Monthly CPI beat expectations at +0.2% PPI fell 1.9% y/y, easing but still deflationary Core inflation steady at 1.2% Weak demand and property

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News

China December 2025 CPI +0.8% y/y (vs. 0.9% expected, prior of 0.7%)

Just a post noting this data release. I'll be back with detail in a separate post. China December 2025: CPI 0.8% y/y, close to a 3-year high expected 0.9%, prior 0.7% +0.2% m/m vs. expected 0%, prior

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Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0128 (vs. estimate at 6.9832)

The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate sy

Forex

Sterling gains look premature as banks warn on UK-EU reset and weak UK growth

At a glance: Commerzbank says UK-EU rapprochement optimism is premature Single-market access would require slow, conditional concessions Danske Bank sees sterling's recent gains as overdone Weak UK gr

Central Banks

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9832 – Reuters estimate

The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch

Stock market update

Goldman sees lower but attractive 2026 equity returns: AI shift to adoption, credit capped

At a glance: Goldman stays modestly pro-risk for 2026, but expects lower returns than recent years Tailwinds shift: less monetary impulse, more fiscal/regulatory support AI seen moving from capex to a

Central Banks

Japan household spending rebounds while real wages still lag, complicates BOJ outlook

At a glance: Japan household spending rose 2.9% y/y in November Far above expectations for a decline Monthly spending jumped 6.2% m/m BOJ recently lifted rates to 30-year high Real wages still falling

News

DATA: Japan Household Spending November 2025: +2.9% y/y (vs expected -0.9%, prior -3.0%)

Just a post noting this data release. Japanese Household Spending +6.2% m/m expected +2.7%, prior -3.5% I'll be back with detail in a separate post. ADDED, here it is to check out: Japan household spe

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Stock market update

Musk says China to dominate AI compute as Beijing plays down chips, touts power advantage

At a glance: Musk says China will dominate AI compute via power scale Electricity, not chips, seen as key AI bottleneck China cites infrastructure and energy advantages Domestic chip capabilities acce

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