American Market Recap: Fedspeak recap: Odds of a January or March rate cut dwindle

Wednesday, 14 Jan, 2026 Central Banks Fedspeak recap: Odds of a January or March rate cut dwindle It has been a deluge of Fedspeak today but it hasn't provided much clarity. The market is pricing in just at 9% chance of a cut at the Jan 28 meeting as we head towards the blackout. For March it's at News EIA weekly US crude oil inventories +3391K vs -1702K expected Prior was -3832K Gasoline +8977K vs +3565K exp Distillates -29K vs +512K exp That's a mammoth gasoline build on top of another huge one last week. It will be tough to keep oil prices up with that much Learn more News US Supreme Court doesn't issue decision on tariffs The US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs was potentially due today but four other decisions were rendered, and no word on tariffs. No other decision days have been announced for this week. The IEEPA is Stock market update Market dip led by tech giants as financials show resilience The US stock market witnessed a notable downturn today, largely driven by declines in major technology stocks, while the financial sector exhibited pockets of resilience. The overall mood hints at cau News Supreme Court tariff ruling could come today at 10 am ET Eyes will be on the US Supreme Court at 10 am ET (1500 GMT) as it delivers another decision. We don't know whether today's decision will be on tariffs or something else. The Supreme Court doesn't sche Stocks Nasdaq Technical Analysis Answers: "Is the Market Startled?" Nasdaq Futures Analysis Today: Calm Long-Term Structure, Tactical Pressure Short Term A comment on trading social media earlier today said the Nasdaq "looks startled." That single sentence was enough News US November retail sales +0.6% vs +0.4% expected Prior was 0.0% (revised to -0.1%) Details: Ex-autos +0.5% vs +0.4% expected Prior ex autos +0.4% (revised to +0.2%) Ex autos and gas +0.4% vs +0.5% prior (revised to +0.4%) Control group +0.4% vs +0.4 News US November PPI final demand Y/Y +3.0% vs +2.7% expected Prior was +2.7% PPI M/M +0.2% vs 0.2% expected Prior +0.3% Core PPI Y/Y +3.0% vs +2.7% expected Prior +2.6% Core PPI M/M +0.0% vs +0.2% expected Prior +0.1% The BLS notes that the November increase in Learn more Technical Analysis The USD is modestly lower to start the US session. The US dollar is trading mostly lower with the USDJPY the weakest (-0.34%). THe greenback is lower by 0.17% versus the GBP and down -0.10% versus the EUR. The changes versus the other currency pairs

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