Asia Market Movers | China data: Q4 GDP 4.5% y/y (expected 4.4%), Dec retail sales +0.9% y/y (expected 1.2%)

Monday, 19 Jan, 2026 News China data: Q4 GDP 4.5% y/y (expected 4.4%), Dec retail sales +0.9% y/y (expected 1.2%) Noting the data, I'll be separately with more on all this. Gross Domestic Product for Q4 2025 4.5% y/y is a beat y/y and q/q expected 4.4%, prior 4.8% 1.2% q/q expected 1.0%, prior 1.1% December 2025 News JPY traders heads up, Japan PM Takaichi press conference from 0900GMT This will be in relation to the snap election expected. Just noting this. Earlier: Japan election raises odds of sales tax cut, bond yields jump Sanae Takaichi Learn more News China new home price continued to drop in December 2025. China December 2025 new home prices -0.4% m/m prior -0.4% -2.7% y/y prior -2.4% China December 2025 used home prices -0.7% m/m prior -0.7% The falls continue. It's a vicious circle for home prices in News Japan election raises odds of sales tax cut, bond yields jump Summary: Japan election boosts chances of consumption tax cut LDP and opposition back temporary removal of food tax 10-year JGB yield hits highest level since 1999 Inflation pressures intensify politi Central Banks PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0051 (vs. estimate at 6.9689) The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate sy Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9689 – Reuters estimate The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch Cryptocurrency Bitcoin has been slammed lower, back under US$93K Risk has taken a hit, as has the US dollar after the news over the weekend of Trump promising higher tariffs again and Europe assessing retaliation Earlier: Monday open indicative forex prices, 19 Jan News UK house asking prices post record seasonal jump, Rightmove says Summary: UK asking prices rise 2.8% m/m , biggest January jump on record Prices now 0.5% higher y/y after recent weakness Housing supply at highest seasonal level since 2014 Confidence improves after Learn more News Japan data: Machine Orders for November: -11.0% m/m (vs. expected -5.1%) Just posting this data, I'll be back with more separately on this. Machinery Orders (YoY) (Nov) -6.4% expected +4.9%, prior +12.5% (MoM) (Nov) -11.0% expected -5.1%, prior 7.0% -- Private sector machi

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