European Markets Wrap-Up: What is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP?

Friday, 09 Jan, 2026 News What is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP? The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market's reactio News Trump: I have cancelled previously expected second wave of attacks on Venezuela From the man himself: "Venezuela is releasing large numbers of political prisoners as a sign of "Seeking Peace." This is a very important and smart gesture. The U.S.A. and Venezuela are working well t Learn more Stocks French stocks eye fresh record highs to start the day in Europe The overall market mood remains more pensive with investors keeping a close watch on the US jobs report later and potential court ruling on Trump's tariffs. However, the mood in Europe this week has l Commodities Key catalysts to watch for gold traders today: US NFP and US Supreme Court in focus FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW We got a small pullback in gold in the final part of the week following a couple of good US data. Overall, the market pricing didn't change much but the chances for a cut in Janua News Swiss unemployment rate keeps steady in December but the trend remains clear Switzerland December seasonally adjusted unemployment rate 3.0% vs 3.0% expected Prior 3.0% The reading meets estimates, so there's nothing all too much to talk about. The number of registered unemplo News Here's why the rest of the world has to keep an eye on China's deflation story China and economic data numbers. It always just tends to play out nicely for Beijing's narrative and this is one of those times. Say what you want about the December CPI report earlier in the day but Forex 4 Surprising Reasons the Canadian Dollar Could Rally in 2026 Key Takeaways for New Traders and Investors Headlines around trade and housing look negative, but markets often move before headlines change. Canada's economy has shown unexpected resilience , especia News What are the main events for today? EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, we the main highlights are the Swiss Unemployment Rate and the Eurozone Retail Sales data. These releases won't change anything for the respective central ban Learn more News Germany November industrial production +0.8% vs -0.4% m/m expected Prior +1.8%; revised to +2.0% At the same time, we also have German trade balance data for November out as per below: Trade balance €13.1 billion vs €16.5 billion expected Prior €16.9 billion That's a

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