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Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Asia Market Movers: PBOC's Loan Prime Rates unchanged: 1 year 3%, 5 year 3.5%

Wednesday, 20 Aug, 2025

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PBOC's Loan Prime Rates unchanged: 1 year 3%, 5 year 3.5%

People's Bank of China rate setting: 5-year Loan Prime Rate at 3.50% vs 3.50% expected 1-year at 3% vs. 3% expected In 2024, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) implemented significant reforms to its mo

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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1897 – Reuters estimate

People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as

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Goldman cuts near-term US gas forecasts, stays bullish on 2026 outlook

Goldman Sachs lowered its November/December 2025 US gas price forecast to $4.00/MMBtu from $4.50. It cut its September/October 2025 forecast by $0.55 to $3.35/MMBtu. Goldman maintained its 2026 US gas

Forex

Implied volatility levels for NZD pairs ahead of the RBNZ

Ahead of the RBNZ, below is a quick snapshot of today's implied volatility support and resistance levels for NZDUSD, EURNZD, NZDJPY and AUDNZD. NZDUSD : 0.59200 (resistance) - 0.58600 (support) EURNZD

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Japan Exports YY -2.6% vs -2.1% expected

Japan's July exports fell 2.6% year-on-year (poll: -2.1%). Imports fell 7.5% year-on-year (poll: -10.4%). The trade balance showed a deficit of ¥117.5 billion (poll: +¥196.2 billion surplus). Exports

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Japan Machinery Orders YY 7.6% vs 5.0% expected

Japan Machinery Orders YY 7.6% vs 5.0% expected Japan Machinery Orders MM 3.0% vs -1.0% expected

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China and India agree to restart dialogue mechanisms, stress border management

China's Wang Yi, after meeting with India's Modi, said they reached an agreement to restart dialogue mechanisms in various fields. He said under the current international situation, the strategic valu

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US Treasury chief Bessent upbeat on China talks, economy, and possible Budapest summit

US Treasury Chief Bessent said the US has had very good talks with China. He said the status quo with China is working very well. He expects the US economy to pick up in Q4. He acknowledged there are

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Preview for the RBNZ policy decision

Markets are almost fully pricing in a 25bp rate cut, which would take the RBNZ's Official Cash Rate down to 3.00%. OIS pricing is currently sitting around a 92% probability for a cut. The RBNZ has bee

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