European Markets Wrap-Up | What are the interest rates expectations after Powell's dovish tilt?

Monday, 25 Aug, 2025 News What are the interest rates expectations after Powell's dovish tilt? Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 54 bps (85% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) ECB: 9 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 12 bps (97% probability of no change at t Education How to handle first losses as a trader: Octa Broker's guide Trading losses are tough—and the less experience you have as a trader, the harder it is to handle them. However, those willing to persevere and learn from their mistakes can turn any temporary setback Learn more Forex Jackson Hole paves the way for another leg lower in the dollar - MUFG The firm notes that with his speech, Powell has reaffirmed that the Fed stance is softening as he acknowledged downside risks to employment and that it could materialise in the form of layoffs. As suc Forex Orders FX option expiries for 25 August 10am New York cut There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below. That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1700 mark. As markets are settling down after the big moves on Friday, the expiries above ar News Germany August Ifo business climate index 89.0 vs 88.6 expected Prior 88.6 Current conditions 86.4 vs 86.7 expected Prior 86.5 Expectations 91.6 vs 90.3 expected Prior 90.7; revised to 90.8 German business sentiment held up this month, helped by a boost in the exp Forex EURUSD Technical Analysis – Dovish Powell sends the dollar lower Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday as Fed Chair Powell tilted more dovish by saying that "with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting bala Stocks European equities open lower to start the new week Eurostoxx -0.4% Germany DAX -0.5% France CAC -0.4% Spain IBEX -0.4% Italy FTSE MIB -0.2% It's a note of caution with month-end soon approaching. The DAX closed last week near flat levels but is still Forex Market Outlook for the week of 25th-29th August Monday begins quietly the Summer Bank Holiday in the U.K. In the U.S., new home sales data will be released. On Tuesday, Australia will publish the RBA monetary policy meeting minutes, while Japan rel Learn more Forex USDJPY Technical Analysis – Powell's dovish tilt weighs on the greenback Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday as Fed Chair Powell tilted more dovish by saying that "with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting bala

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