European Markets Wrap-Up: How have interest rates expectations changed after the US CPI?

Wednesday, 13 Aug, 2025 News How have interest rates expectations changed after the US CPI? Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 61 bps (98% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) ECB: 11 bps (95% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 17 bps (92% probability of no change at Forex Dollar nudges lower as post-CPI fallout continues for now The dollar has had a torrid August so far and it looks to be continuing now after another key data release yesterday. The US labour market report kicked things off at the start of the month and the US Learn more Stocks AI Stock Valuations Might Now Be Entering a Negative Sentiment Phase Q&A: Are AI valuations entering a sentiment-driven bubble? What happened to major software stocks today? It seems that some "AI Stocks" are not joing the market's extended party. Several leading s Forex USDJPY Technical Analysis – The US CPI wasn't enough to deter a September cut Fundamental Overview The USD came under some renewed pressure yesterday following the US CPI report. The data was mostly in line with forecasts and not strong enough to deter the market from expecting Stocks European equities hold higher to kick start the day Eurostoxx +0.4% Germany DAX +0.4% France CAC 40 +0.3% UK FTSE +0.3% Spain IBEX +0.4% Italy FTSE MIB +0.3% It's an optimistic start to the session after the late push higher in Wall Street to wrap thin News Spain July final CPI +2.7% vs +2.7% y/y prelim Prior +2.3% HICP +2.7% vs +2.7% y/y prelim Prior +2.3% Core annual inflation is seen at 2.3% and that is marginally higher from the 2.2% reading in June. Once again, it reaffirms the ECB's current sta Central Banks Traders go all in on a Fed rate cut for September The US CPI report yesterday came in more or less within expectations, with the details not really reflecting material evidence of an acceleration in tariffs passthrough on inflation. As things stand, News What are the main events for today? Today will likely be a boring day on the news front. On the calendar, we don't have any market moving event as the final CPI reading for Spain and the US MBA Mortgage Applications data won't change an Learn more Stocks Eurostoxx futures +0.3% in early European trading German DAX futures +0.4% French CAC 40 futures +0.3% UK FTSE futures +0.2% This comes after US indices closed at the highs, posting fresh records with European equities now looking to get in on some o

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