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Tuesday, August 12, 2025

European Markets Wrap-Up: Heads up: RBA monetary policy decision for August due at the bottom of the hour

Tuesday, 12 Aug, 2025

Central Banks

Heads up: RBA monetary policy decision for August due at the bottom of the hour

As we look to the decision in just a bit, traders have already fully priced in a 25 bps rate cut for today. And in looking out through to year-end, there is ~58 bps of rate cuts priced in. Given the e

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China president Xi reportedly held phone talks with Brazil president Lula

As Trump calls for China to quadruple its soybean purchases from the US, Brazil is one to be concerned as they have been China's top soybeans supplier for a while now. For some context, China is the w

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investingLive Asia-pacific FX news wrap: Awaiting the US inflation data

US and China extended their tariff truce for 90 days, lifting Asian stocks and sending Japan's Nikkei to a record high. Australia's business confidence hit a three-year peak ahead of an expected RBA r

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JPMorgan sees stagflation signs as tariffs lift prices and US growth, jobs slow

JPMorgan is warning that the US could face a "somewhat stagflationary" environment in the second half of the year, as early signs of tariff-driven price pressures combine with softer demand and a weak

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China to outline subsidized loan policies for consumers and service sector on August 13

China's government will hold a press conference at 10 a.m. local time on August 13 to detail new subsidized loan policies aimed at boosting personal consumption and supporting service-sector businesse

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Trump, South Korea's Lee to meet in Washington on Aug 25 - security and economic issues

South Korean President Lee Jae-myung will visit the US from August 24–26 for his first summit with President Donald Trump, his office said. The leaders will meet on August 25 in Washington to discuss

News

Australian data - July business confidence 7 (vs. prior 5)

National Australia Bank Business Survey for July 2025 Business confidence rises to 7, a three-year high strength in services and construction prior 5 Business conditions fall to 7 prior 9 Some of the

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China eases export curbs, lifts measures on 12 US firms and signals case-by-case licences

China has updated its export control lists, introducing provisions that allow companies to apply for permission to trade with entities currently subject to restrictions. As part of the changes, Beijin

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Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 7.1418 (vs. estimate at 7.1901)

The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate sy

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