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Tuesday, September 16, 2025

American Market Recap: US dollar nears the lowest since 2022 as the Fed prepares to cut rates

Tuesday, 16 Sep, 2025

Forex

US dollar nears the lowest since 2022 as the Fed prepares to cut rates

Fed rate cut pricing is shifting slightly in the hawkish direction but it isn't helping the US dollar. At one point, three Fed cuts were fully priced into the curve for 2025 but that 75 bps in pricing

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News

The US treasury sells $13B of 20 year bonds at a high yield of 4.613%

High yield 4.613% WI level at the time of the auction 4.615% Tail -0.2 basis points vs 6 month average of 0.4 basis points Bid to cover 2.74X vs 6 month average of 2.65X Directs 27..87% vs 6 month ave

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News

Japan JERA in advanced talks to buy USD $1.7B worth of US Natural gas production assets

Japan JERA is in advanced talks to buy USD $1.7B worth of Natural gas production from GeoSotuthern Energy and Williams Companies Joint Venture.

Technical Analysis

AUDUSD stretches to targets at topside trend line and November 2024 highs

The AUDUSD is pressing higher , extending to a new session peak and now up 0.27% on the day —a notable pickup after starting only marginally firmer. The rally has carried the pair to 0.6685 , where it

Technical Analysis

New highs for the EURUSD. Now up 0.84% on the day

The EURUSD's rally is extending , with the pair pushing to a fresh session high at 1.1860 , up 0.84% on the day . Importantly, the move carried the price above the prior yearly high from July 1 at 1.1

News

European indices fall sharply in trading today

The European indices fell sharply with the German Dax tumbling 1.79% -its worst day since September 2nd. France's CAC snapped a 6 day win streak with a 1% decline. A look at the major indices shows: G

Technical Analysis

USDCHF stretches to 2025 lows. Finds buyers on the first test.

The USDCHF has pushed lower , testing the July 1 low at 0.78714 , with today's price briefly dipping to 0.7874 before staging a modest rebound to 0.7885 . This is a pivotal level for the pair: a susta

Central Banks

Atlanta Fed GDP now growth estimate for third-quarter 3.4% versus 3.1% last

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth estimate for 3Q rose to 3.4% vs 3.1% on September 11. In theiir own words: The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third qu

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Technical Analysis

USDJPY tests the low of a swing area at 146.547

The USDJPY is pressing lower , testing the bottom of a key swing area between 146.55 and 146.83 . This zone has been defined by multiple swing lows dating back to early August (see red numbered circle

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