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Monday, September 8, 2025

European Markets Wrap-Up | How have interest rates expectations changed after the NFP report?

Monday, 08 Sep, 2025

News

How have interest rates expectations changed after the NFP report?

Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 70 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting; the rest for a 50 bps cut) ECB: 8 bps (99% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 12 bps (98% pr

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News

Eurozone September Sentix investor confidence -9.2 vs -2.0 expected

Prior -3.7 Euro area investor morale slumped further going into September, with the headline reading being the lowest since April. Sentix noted that "economic anxieties are coming back with full force

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News

Gold powers through $3,600 as the upside breakout continues to run

There's just no stopping the gold train still as the September month is really kicking off. The reasons to stay bullish on the precious metal are still very much there and after the period of consolid

Forex

EURUSD is threatening a breakout of the month-long range

Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by

Forex

USD/JPY looks to close the opening gap as the session gets underway

The Japanese yen opened with a gap lower today after prime minister Ishiba announced his resignation over the weekend. While the writing was already on the wall for Ishiba for more than a month alread

Stocks

European stocks kick start the week on a more positive footing

Eurostoxx +0.5% Germany DAX +0.7% France CAC 40 +0.4% UK FTSE +0.1% Spain IBEX +0.3% Italy FTSE MIB +0.5% This comes as US futures are also posting a slight rebound, with S&P 500 futures up 0.2% o

Forex

Market Outlook for the week of 8th-12th September

Monday starts quietly, with no major economic events scheduled for the FX market. On Tuesday, Australia will release the Westpac consumer sentiment and NAB business confidence surveys. SNB Chairman Sc

Technical Analysis

Gold remains supported amid dovish Fed bets and weaker US data

Fundamental Overview Gold jumped into a new all-time high on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts

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News

What are the main events for today?

In the European session, we don't have anything on the agenda. The markets will either consolidate into the US CPI report or continue with the trends set in the prior week. In the American session, we

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