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Thursday, September 18, 2025

European Markets Wrap-Up: People were wrong about Waller and Bowman: they weren't driven by politics

Thursday, 18 Sep, 2025

News

People were wrong about Waller and Bowman: they weren't driven by politics

There's been a popular narrative throughout the year about Fed's Waller and Fed's Bowman. Both of them were apppointed by Trump in his first term and given that they started to call for rate cuts befo

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Stocks

US futures continue to ramp higher on the session

The Fed wasn't as dovish as market players would've hoped but they most certainly didn't take anything away from the market pricing before the decision yesterday. Traders are holding steadfast in expe

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Central Banks

BOE to stay on hold today but keep an eye out on the bank rate vote - BofA

BofA notes that the BOE is widely expected to keep the bank rate unchanged today at 4.00%. While labour market conditions have softened, there's no sign of a sharp deterioration just yet. And that red

News

ECB's de Guindos: Present policy stance is appropriate

We must continue having a very prudent approach Environment is quite uncertain Growth in H2 won't be very different from Q2 Risks from fiscal policy are becoming more tangible Growth risks are now muc

News

Eurozone July current account balance €27.7 billion vs €35.8 billion prior

Prior €35.8 billion Slight delay in the release by the source. The current account surplus narrowed in July mostly due to a drop in the surplus for primary income as compared to June. The breakdown sh

News

Was the Fed decision dovish or hawkish? Let's see what we got compared to market pricing

Yesterday, ahead of the Fed decision, I wrote down all the things that were expected and all the potential surprises. Let's see what we got... STATEMENT The changes in the statement were as expected.

Stocks

European indices open higher as investors take in the Fed decision

Eurostoxx +0.8% Germany DAX +1.0% France CAC 40 +0.6% UK FTSE +0.1% Spain IBEX +0.6% Italy FTSE MIB +0.8% This comes as US futures are also looking buoyed for the time being, with S&P 500 futures

Forex

USDJPY shoots higher as the Fed's projections disappoint the doves

Fundamental Overview The USD yesterday weakened across the board on the Fed's decision but eventually erased all the losses and increased the gains as traders digested all the information and realised

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News

What are the main events for today?

In the European session, we don't have anything on the agenda leading up to the BoE policy decision. The BoE is expected to keep the bank rate unchanged at 4.00% with a 7-2 vote split and slow the pac

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