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Friday, December 19, 2025

American Market Recap: Who were the best 2025 forecasters? Here is who nailed (and who whiffed) the S&P 500 call

Friday, 19 Dec, 2025

Stocks

Who were the best 2025 forecasters? Here is who nailed (and who whiffed) the S&P 500 call

It's easy to dunk on strategists. It's a year-end tradition to pull up the forecast lists and laugh at how wrong the banks were. But they did pretty well this year. With the S&P 500 trading at 6,8

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Stock market update

More gains in Europe today: The trade of 2025 wasn't AI, it was Southern Europe

The German DAX has been bouncing around for months but shook off some selling at the start of the week to post a solid gain. It was indicative of the continent, which finished Friday solid to cap an o

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Central Banks

ECB's Lane on why the ECB is cutting into a sticky-inflation slowing economy

After months of easing, the Governing Council decided that 2.00% is the magic number—the "neutral" rate where they can sit back and let the economy hum. But if you listened to Philip Lane today, the h

News

US November existing home sales 4.13m vs 4.15m expected

Prior was 4.10m Home sales change +0.5% vs +1.2% prior Shares of home builders have been beaten up this week on poor earnings and even-weaker forecasts for the months ahead.

News

December final UMich consumer sentiment 52.9 vs 53.4 expected

Prelim was 53.3 Prior was 51.0 Conditions 50.4 vs 50.7 prelim Expectations 54.6 vs 55.0 prelim 10year inflation 4.2% vs 4.1% prelim (prior was 4.5%) 5-year inflation 3.2% vs 3.2% prelim (prior was 3.4

Stock market update

Today is the largest stock market options expiry day of all time. What to watch for

It is Quadruple Witching Friday—that rare quarterly alignment where contracts on four different types of securities expire simultaneously: Index options Single stock options Index futures Index future

Stock market update

Tech and semiconductor stocks surge amidst mixed market signals

Sector Overview The US stock market today is witnessing notable trends in the technology and semiconductor sectors. Based on today's heatmap, tech giants are on the rise, with Oracle (ORCL) leading th

Forex

Japan's Katayama: Alarmed over currency moves, will take appropriate action

USD/JPY is quickly lower on this. Desirable for FX to move in stable manner reflecting fundamentals Will take appropriate action Clearly seeing one-sided, rapid moves This is the strongest language ye

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Central Banks

Fed's Waller had 'a strong interview' but the market isn't buying it

CNBC was earlier out with a report saying that the Fed's Waller had a 'strong interview' for Fed chair. That begs the question: What does a strong interview with Trump look like? A pledge to lower rat

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