Asia Market Movers: A key USMCA detail makes January 2 a day to watch

Thursday, 11 Dec, 2025 News A key USMCA detail makes January 2 a day to watch In 2025, the Trump administration took on the world with its trade but 2026 will be about its neighbors. There is a sense that the trade war has stabilized and hopefully it has but the year ahead will News Australia November employment -21.3K vs +20.0K expected Prior was 42.2K Full time -56.5K vs +55.3K prior Unemployment rate 4.3% vs 4.4% expected (prior 4.3%) Participation rate 66.7% vs 67.0% prior The RBA decision was yesterday but Bullard tipped a more-h Learn more News UK RICS house price survey -16 vs -21 expected Prior was -19 If you squint, you can start to see a turn upward. News Japan Q4 business survey index +4.7% vs +3.8% Prior was +3.8% The trade war isn't hurting manufacturing and the latest yen weakness won't hurt as well (at least on the export side, it's not so great for importers). Commodities RBC forecasts gold to average $4,600 in 2026 and hit $5,100 in 2027 The precious metals analysts at RBC Capital Markets are out with a massive call, forecasting more upside for gold over the next two years. Despite gold already ripping 60% higher year-to-date in 2025, Stocks Shares of Oracle fall 10% the questions about AI spending continue he numbers are out for Oracle's Q2 fiscal 2026, and the market reaction is ugly. Shares are down more than 10% in after-hours trading and still struggling to find a base as $200 gave way. Here is the Central Banks What's priced in for the Federal Reserve after today's rate cut As expected, the FOMC pulled the trigger on a 25 basis point cut today, bringing the Fed Funds target range down to 3.50% - 3.75%. Looking ahead, the market sees a pause in January followed by a slow News New Zealand Q3 manufacturing sales +1.1% vs -2.9% prior Prior was -2.9% This is a nice rebound after poor Q2 reading. Learn more News Economic calendar in Asia-Pacific trade: The spotlight turns to Australian jobs The calendar is looking a bit top-heavy for the Thursday session in Asia. While we have some Japanese flow data and a check-in on the UK housing market, the main event is inarguable -- the Australian

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