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Monday, December 29, 2025

Asia Market Movers | Musk flags silver supply (and price!) risks as China export curbs spark market concern

Monday, 29 Dec, 2025

Commodities

Musk flags silver supply (and price!) risks as China export curbs spark market concern

TL;DR summary: Elon Musk flags concern over potential silver supply restrictions Social media claims point to tighter Chinese export controls from 2026 Silver is critical for EVs, electronics and rene

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Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 7.0331 (vs. estimate at 7.0057)

Friday's close was 7.0063. Since then: China launches "Justice Mission 2025" drills simulating blockade around Taiwan (more info) China to conduct live-fire military drills surrounding Taiwan on Decem

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News

China launches "Justice Mission 2025" drills simulating blockade around Taiwan (more info)

TL;DR summary: Drills include blockade-style operations and joint assault scenarios Exercises involve multi-directional air and naval approaches Rhetoric framed as warning against Taiwan independence

Central Banks

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0057 – Reuters estimate

Earlier: China to conduct live-fire military drills surrounding Taiwan on December 30 China flags more proactive fiscal policy in 2026 to boost domestic demand China industrial profits slump at fastes

Central Banks

BoJ signals more rate hikes ahead as policy seen far from neutral. JPY trades higher.

TL;DR summary: BoJ says policy rate remains far below neutral despite recent hike Several members favour steady further rate increases Real interest rates seen staying deeply negative even at 0.75% Ye

News

China to conduct live-fire military drills surrounding Taiwan on December 30

TL;DR summary: China announces major PLA drills around Taiwan on December 30 Exercises include live-fire activities in surrounding waters and airspace Drills run from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. local time Marke

News

China flags more proactive fiscal policy in 2026 to boost domestic demand

TL;DR summary: China signals a more proactive fiscal stance for 2026 Policy focus shifts toward consumption, innovation and social support Authorities aim to reduce reliance on exports and lift domest

News

Ukraine peace talks gain momentum as Trump and European leaders signal progress

TL;DR summary: European and US leaders report "good progress" in Ukraine peace discussions Trump reiterates talks are close, but admits key territorial issues remain Security guarantees largely agreed

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China industrial profits slump at fastest pace in 14 months as demand weakens

TL;DR summary: Industrial profits fell 13.1% y/y in November, the steepest decline in over a year Weak domestic demand and factory-gate deflation outweighed export resilience Coal sector profits slump

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