American Market Recap: More from Musalem: Bond market is signaling a resilient economy/higher expected inflation.

Thursday, 28 May, 2026 News More from Musalem: Bond market is signaling a resilient economy/higher expected inflation. Bond markets are signaling a resilient economy and higher expected inflation. Most of the recent move higher in bond yields reflects a higher expected neutral rate. Wanted to remove the Fed’s “easing Technical Analysis AUDUSD and NZDUSD as risk-on flows from MOU between US and Iran The AUDUSD and NZDUSD are leading the move lower in the US dollar today as improving risk sentiment weighs on the greenback. Reports suggesting that the U.S. and Iran are nearing a memorandum of under Learn more News US Treasury sells $77B of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.290% High Yield 4.290% WI level at the time of the auction 4.291% Tail -0.1 basis points Bid to cover 2.52X which is near the six month average of 2.48X Directs 11.2% much lower than the average of 27.5% I News US/Iran MOU on ceasefire has reached an agreement but Trump still needs to approve it There are increasing reports suggesting progress toward a cease-fire agreement between the U.S. and Iran. According to multiple sources, the deal would be implemented in two phases, beginning with the News Crude oil inventories fall -3.327 million versus -4.143 million estimate The weekly EIA inventory data shows: crude oil inventories -3.327 million versus -4.143 million estimate distillates -2.107 million versus -1.024 million estimate. Gasoline -2.572 million versus -2.41 Central Banks Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q2 comes in at 3.8% down from 4.3% The Atlanta Fed GDPN estimate for Q2 growth comes in at 3.8% In their own words: The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 3.8 pe Technical Analysis USD races to the downside. What are the markets saying now technically? As a memorandum of understanding is said to be close but not done as Iran's supreme leader Khomenei and Pres. Trump have not approved, the markets are still hopeful. US stocks have moved higher led by Central Banks More from Fed's Musalem: Baseline is inflation will take longer to come down Baseline Outlook is that inflation will take longer to come back down to target. Sees risk that inflation may not converge to target as we would like. There is a scenario where economy might require a Learn more Stock market update Tech sector rebounds as Oracle and Microsoft lead the charge Sector Overview Today's market heatmap reveals a robust performance in the Technology sector , driven largely by significant gains in software infrastructure. Oracle (ORCL) surged with a gain of 2.

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