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Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Asia Market Movers: RBNZ expected to hold today but hawkish forecasts to signal rate rises ahead

Wednesday, 27 May, 2026

Central Banks

RBNZ expected to hold today but hawkish forecasts to signal rate rises ahead

The RBNZ is expected to hold its OCR at 2.25% at today's Monetary Policy Statement but deliver a hawkish forecast update, with the terminal rate seen rising to around 3.2% as Iran war energy costs thr

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Commodities

Oil slips in Asia as Hormuz deal hopes offset renewed Iran hostilities

Oil falls in early Asian trade on hopes for a US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, though options data shows unusually low investor conviction and a 37% implied chance of oil above $100 in thr

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Commodities

UNCONFIRMED - Al Jazeera says a deal is done, signing to come

Social media reports, so please treat with care. Talk of this has been circulating, started by an Al Jazeera chief a few hours ago.

Central Banks

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7883 – Reuters estimate

The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch

Central Banks

Ueda opens BOJ conference with warning that temporary oil shocks can become persistent

BOJ Governor Ueda says the current Middle East conflict represents Japan's fifth major oil shock, warning that initial conditions including wages, expectations and exchange rates will determine whethe

News

Japan April Services PPI (Corporate Services Price Index) 3% y/y (f'cast 3.3%, prior 3.1%)

Japan's services producer price index measures the rate of change in prices that domestic service-sector businesses charge one another for services, capturing upstream cost pressures before they flow

Central Banks

BOJ opens two-day IMES conference on monetary policy, global central bank cast: Fed, RBA

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda opens the two-day IMES conference in Tokyo on Wednesday, with Fed, RBA, IMF and BIS representatives among speakers across sessions on price shocks, trade and monetary

Stocks

Musk discussed merging SpaceX and Tesla as rocket company prepares Nasdaq debut

Elon Musk has discussed combining SpaceX and Tesla with colleagues, CNBC reports, as SpaceX prepares its Nasdaq debut with a $1.25 trillion private market valuation. Summary: Source: CNBC , citing peo

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Central Banks

NAB joins CBA and Westpac in flagging firm Australian underlying inflation for April

NAB forecasts Australian April headline CPI easing to 4.4% on fuel excise relief, but warns of broadening cost pass-through with trimmed mean seen at 3.4%, risk skewed higher. Summary: NAB forecasts h

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