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Wednesday, August 6, 2025

Asia Market Movers: Recapping data earlier - New Zealand labour market data reinforces rate cut expectations

Wednesday, 06 Aug, 2025

Central Banks

Recapping data earlier - New Zealand labour market data reinforces rate cut expectations

New Zealand's labour market remained soft in Q2, reinforcing expectations that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will deliver a 25 basis point rate cut at its August policy meeting. Earlier: New

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Central Banks

Deutsche Bank sees BoE cutting again, but says ECB may be done easing

Deutsche Bank expects a further divergence in the near-term paths of Europe's two major central banks, forecasting another rate cut from the Bank of England (BoE) this week (the Bank meet Thursday) wh

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Central Banks

HSBC expects further JPY weakness, BOJ may wait for Fed before next hike

HSBC is warning of renewed downside pressure on the Japanese yen in the near term, citing a combination of U.S. monetary policy risks, domestic political uncertainty, and cautiousness from the Bank of

Central Banks

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1797 – Reuters estimate

People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as

Forex

UBS sees AUD/USD poised to rally, eyes 0.70 target by early 2026

UBS says the Australian dollar is well-positioned to benefit from a broad rotation out of the U.S. dollar, with strategists identifying the AUD/USD as an attractive long opportunity at current levels.

Technical Analysis

10-Year Yield Futures Analysis Today | tradeCompass

Micro 10-Year Yield Futures Technical Analysis with tradeCompass (August 6, 2025) The tradeCompass snapshot Current Price: 4.216% Bullish above: 4.230 Bearish below: 4.224 Primary Bias: Bearish (at th

News

Japan wages rise y/y, but inflation adjusted wages continue to fall

Japan Labour Market Data – June Nominal Cash Earnings (y/y): +2.5% (vs. +3.1% expected; prior +1.0%; revised prior +1.4%) Real Cash Earnings (y/y): –1.3% ... this is the sixth straight month of declin

Stock market update

HSBC lifts S&P 500 target to 6,400, citing AI momentum and easing policy uncertainty

HSBC has raised its year-end 2025 target for the S&P 500 to 6,400, pointing to continued strength in the technology sector and diminishing policy risks as key drivers of upside. The upgrade, issue

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News

New Zealand Q2 Unemployment rate 5.2% (vs. expected 5.3%)

New Zealand Q2 2025 jobs report: More: Private sector wages (excluding overtime) +2.2% y/y (expected +2.3%) and +0.6% q/q (expected +0.6%) That 5.2% unemployment rate, the highest in nearly 5 years,&n

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