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Friday, September 5, 2025

European Markets Wrap-Up: Eurozone Q2 final GDP +0.1% vs +0.1% q/q expected

Friday, 05 Sep, 2025

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Eurozone Q2 final GDP +0.1% vs +0.1% q/q expected

Prior +0.6% GDP Q2 y/y +1.5% vs +1.4% expected Prior +1.5% GDP components evolved in the second quarter of 2025 as follows: household final consumption expenditure increased by 0.1% in the euro area a

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Italy July retail sales +0.0% vs +0.4% expected

Prior +0.6% (revised to +0.7%) Retail sales Y/Y +1.8% vs +1.0% prior (revised to +1.1%) The agency notes: "In the three months to July, retail sales grew by 0.6% in value and by 0.1% in volume compar

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Switzerland consumer confidence -39.9 vs -36.5 expected

Prior -32.8 This is not a market-moving release. Consumer confidence has been improving steadily since the April's lows but started to slip again from June onwards. The very high tariffs Trump slapped

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France July trade balance -€5.56 billion vs -€6.1 billion expected

Prior -€7.62 billion (revised to -€7.16 billion) This comes as exports increased to €52.1 billion vs € 50.8 billion prior, and imports fell to €57.7 billion vs 58.0 billion prior.

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Putin on Ukraine: There are legal obstacles in Ukraine for potential deal on territories

We have open dialogue with Trump. Have not yet spoken with Trump. On military contingents in Ukraine says that Russia assumes they will be legal targets for strikes. I see no sense in their deployment

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Germany July industrial orders -2.9% vs +0.5% m/m expected

Prior -1.0% (revised to -0.2%) The agency notes: "When large-scale orders are excluded, new orders were 0.7% higher than in the previous month. The less volatile three-month on three-month compariso

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UK July retail sales +0.6% vs +0.2% m/m expected

Prior +0.9% (revised to +0.3%) Retail sales +1.1% vs +1.3% y/y expected Prior +1.7% (revised to +0.9%) Retail sales ex autos, fuel +0.5% vs +0.4% m/m expected Prior +0.6% Retail sales ex autos, fuel +

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Japan July leading economic index 105.9 vs 105.9 expected

Prior 105.6 Coincident index 113.3 vs 116.7 prior This is not a market-moving indicator but there's been a slight improvement in the leading index. We've also seen improvement in the Japanese PMIs re

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What are the main events for today?

In the European session, we don't have much on the agenda as the only notable economic release will be the UK Retail Sales data. The data is not going to change anything for the BoE at this point thou

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