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Wednesday, March 25, 2026

American Market Recap: Iran parliamentary speaker reiterates that ground attack will result in escalation

Wednesday, 25 Mar, 2026

News

Iran parliamentary speaker reiterates that ground attack will result in escalation

It's not clear which regional country he is talking about here. "Based on certain intelligence, Iran's enemies, with the backing of a regional country, are preparing an operation to occupy one of Iran

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News

Putin signs order to limit gold exports

Putin signed the order to halt gold exports. Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak announced the restrictions as part of a broader push to clamp down on the shadow economy, framing them as a plan to "

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News

Leavitt: The US is very close to meeting its objectives in Iran

US military is ahead of schedule in its operation Iranian regime is looking for an exit ramp Iran wants to talk, Trump is willing to listen Iran's missile and drone attacks have declined US has been i

News

The U.S. Treasury auctions off $70 billion of 5 year notes at a high yield of the 3.980%

High yield 3.980% Wi level at the time of the auction 3.966% Tail +1.4 basis points versus 6 month average of 0.3 basis points Bid to cover 2.29X versus 6 month average of 2.36X Directs (domestic buye

News

The latest news headlines from US, Iran and Isreal

Iran US-Israel War news : CNN is reporting that the Trump administration officials are working to organize a potential meeting this weekend—likely in Pakistan, though Turkey is also being considered—t

News

The Qatar-Iran rumors are getting some attention

I don't love reporting on rumors that are doing the rounds because most of it is garbage but at the same time, I like to know what the rumors are. There's also a war going on and the state of journali

News

Iran threatens to block the Red Sea via the Bab el-Mandeb Strait

Iran is threatening to shut the Bab el-Mandeb Strait if there is a ground attack on Iran. The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is located between Yemen on the Arabian Peninsula and Djibouti and Eritrea in Africa,

News

Pakistan says it hasn't had confirmation that Iran declined talks

All the media in Iran seem to indicate that ceasefire talks have been rejected but yesterday Trump sounded fairly confident that there were people who wanted them in Iran. Now there's a newswire repor

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Technical Analysis

A mixed technical picture for the broader indices and the price of Nvidia

Yesterday, I walked through the broader stock indices—focusing on the NASDAQ and S&P—and at that time, the technical bias was clearly negative , with both indices trading below their respective 20

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European Markets Wrap-Up: ECB's Lane: We will be considering at every meeting what the scenario is

Wednesday, 25 Mar, 2026

Central Banks

ECB's Lane: We will be considering at every meeting what the scenario is

We will be considering at every meeting what the scenario is Drop in consumer confidence was quite big You can see downturn in PMIs Inflation expectations show significant effect for first year, then

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Commodities

Trump successfully capped the upside in oil, raising market hopes for an end to the war

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Oil prices have eased significantly on Monday after Trump announced on his Truth Social account a five-day ceasefire aimed at paving the way for "a complete and total resolution o

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Central Banks

ECB president Lagarde: Monetary policy cannot bring down energy prices

If this event had been held a few weeks ago, my speech would have been very different But we find ourselves yet again in a different world We are facing profound uncertainty about the path of the econ

News

Germany March Ifo business climate index 86.4 vs 86.1 expected

Prior 88.6; revised to 88.4 Current conditions 86.7 vs 86.0 expected Prior 86.7 Expectations 86.0 vs 86.0 expected Prior 90.5; revised to 90.2 German business sentiment falls in March and that is not

News

Iran's ambassador to Pakistan reaffirms that there was no talks between US and Iran

There have been no talks between the US and Iran, either directly or indirectly Friendly countries like Pakistan are seeking to lay the groundwork for dialogue between Tehran and Washington Hopes that

Commodities

Gold recovers some ground as hopes for the end of the US-Iran war drive prices higher

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Gold has been regaining some ground over the past few days, supported by a couple of optimistic developments on the US-Iran front. On Monday, prices jumped after Trump announced o

News

Oil price surge to $150 could spark global recession, says BlackRock CEO

He covered a bunch of topics in his interview with the BBC. Here's his take on the Middle East conflict: If Iran remains a threat and higher oil prices hold, it will have "profound implications" to th

News

What are the main events for today?

EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, the main highlight was the UK CPI report. The headline figure matched the rate seen in January but core inflation was slightly higher than expected. Services

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News

UK February CPI +3.0% vs +3.0% y/y expected

Prior +3.0% Core CPI +3.2% vs +3.1% y/y expected Prior +3.1% To preface the report, it is one that doesn't matter all too much since it is before the US-Iran conflict took place. Still, it does provid

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