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Monday, June 29, 2026

Asia Market Movers | Japan retail sales surge 5.3% in May on wages and subsidies, smashing forecasts

Monday, 29 Jun, 2026

News

Japan retail sales surge 5.3% in May on wages and subsidies, smashing forecasts

The print lands as a material upside surprise at a moment when BOJ rate path expectations are acutely sensitive to evidence of sustained domestic demand. A 5.3% year-on-year gain against a 3.2% consen

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Stock market update

AI buildout echoes dot-com and railway manias, BIS warns on bust risk and recession threat

The BIS framing puts a systemic lens on what markets have been treating as a sector-specific valuation debate. The warning that household equity exposure has risen materially relative to both wealth a

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Central Banks

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8041 – Reuters estimate

The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch

Central Banks

RBA's Kent says monetary policy board may have less tolerance for inflation ('but' ...)

RBA Kent speech: Additional Monetary Policy Tools: Reflections and a New Framework In brief on Kent's speech, its not really addressing current high inflation. While Kent did say the board would be le

Commodities

Gold demand set to climb as $29 trillion in sovereign capital rethinks dollar reliance

The one-third of surveyed institutions planning to add gold represents a demand signal with genuine price implications: central banks and sovereign wealth funds operate at a scale where even increment

News

China industrial profits rise 21% in May but growth slows as domestic demand lags

The sectoral split in China's profit data has direct commodity read-throughs: upstream outperformance in non-ferrous metals and electronics materials reflects sustained input cost pressure that has ye

Forex

Bolivia abandons 15-year dollar peg. Boliviano set for 30% free float plunge.

The immediate read-through for emerging market FX is a reminder that managed pegs under reserve stress are a slow-motion event until they are not. Bolivia's parallel market had already been pricing th

Commodities

Futures trade has begun for the new week, oil up $1

Oil has jumped a little on the weekend news: Iran, US trade strikes. Gulf ceasefire unravels over weekend. Will probably ravel soon. The escalation has since unwound somewhat: US and Iran halt strikes

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News

Economic and event calendar in Asia 29 June 2026 - data due from Japan

Data due from Japan today. Not likely to move the yen too much, it remains weak. Earlier: Weekend - Hawkish ECB board member calls for further rate hikes despite Hormuz relief (re Schnabel) Reserve Ba

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