European Markets Wrap-Up: ECB policymaker Lane sees the current inflation shock as "mid-sized", defends rate hike

Friday, 19 Jun, 2026 Central Banks ECB policymaker Lane sees the current inflation shock as "mid-sized", defends rate hike Inflation will be above 3% for the rest of this year It's hard to make a case that we shouldn't have hiked There is a fair amount of resilience in the Eurozone economy Eurozone economy has steady mome Forex USD/JPY is near the highest level since 1986 as divergence with the Fed intensifies FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar surged across the board on the more hawkish than expected dot plot (the consensus was looking for no cuts or hikes this year). The median dot showed one rate hi Learn more News UK May retail sales +1.2% vs +0.5% m/m expected Prior -1.3% (revised to -1.0%) Retail sales +3.2% vs +1.9% y/y expected Prior +0.0% (revised to +0.1%) Retail sales ex autos, fuel 1.2% vs +0.4% m/m expected Prior -0.4% (revised to -0.1%) Retail sale Forex Orders FX option expiries for 19 June 10am New York cut EUR/USD 1.1500 (EUR 3.45 bn) 1.1350 (EUR 1.06 bn) USD/JPY 162.00 (US$ 411.07 mn) GBP/USD 1.3350 (GBP 323.37 mn) USD/CHF 0.7980 (US$ 593.83 mn) USD/CAD 1.4000 (US$ 621.46 mn) AUD/USD 0.7055 (AUD 385.01 News What are the main events for today? EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, we have only the UK Retail Sales report. The data is expected to show a 0.5% increase in May compared to a -1.3% decline the prior month. The Retail Sales Ex- News investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Vance cancels trip for Iran talks Japan CPI stays muted in May as subsidies mask building inflation pressure Oil and US dollar rising on news that Vance cancelled his trip to negotiate with Iran BoJ deputy governor says delaying on pr Central Banks Japan CPI stays muted in May as subsidies mask building inflation pressure The data is dovish on the surface but the BoJ is unlikely to read it that way given the context. Subsidies are doing the work of keeping core below 2%, not underlying disinflation, and the PPI acceler News Oil and US dollar rising on news that Vance cancelled his trip to negotiate with Iran Oil and the dollar moved on the Vance cancellation and the direction of both tells the story: markets had been pricing a relatively clean transition from ceasefire to negotiation, and this early stumb Learn more Central Banks BoJ deputy governor says delaying on price risks could cause long-term economic damage The overshoot warning is the sharpest language Himino has used across both sets of remarks on Friday and lifts the hawkish temperature of the session considerably. Framing delay itself as a risk, rath

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