European Markets Wrap-Up: Heads up: RBA monetary policy decision due at the bottom of the hour

Tuesday, 16 Jun, 2026 Central Banks Heads up: RBA monetary policy decision due at the bottom of the hour In May, the RBA raised the cash rate by 25 bps to 4.35% then signaled that they would be pausing here . As a reminder, the central bank has been one of the early movers in having raised interest rates News investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: BOJ hikes as expected, taper pause ahead BOJ hikes to 1%, pauses bond taper from April 2027 and flags inflation overshoot risk Bank of Japan 25bp rate hike to 1%, as widely expected Goldman cuts Brent forecast to $80 for 2026, $75 for 2027 o Learn more Central Banks BOJ hikes to 1%, pauses bond taper from April 2027 and flags inflation overshoot risk The decision is a clean hawkish package with one dovish structural element. The rate hike and the explicit commitment to continue raising rates are unambiguous. The bond taper pause from April 2027, f Central Banks Bank of Japan 25bp rate hike to 1%, as widely expected I'll have more to come on this separately. ADDED, here: BOJ hikes to 1%, pauses bond taper from April 2027 and flags inflation overshoot risk Background: BOJ set to hit 1% but vote split, bond taper p Commodities Goldman cuts Brent forecast to $80 for 2026, $75 for 2027 on Hormuz deal This is Goldman's second downward revision in a week, which gives the cuts additional weight as a directional signal rather than a knee-jerk reaction. The bring-forward of Persian Gulf export normalis News China May data: industrial output beats but retail sales post first fall since 2022 The data reinforces a China growth narrative that is increasingly uncomfortable for commodity and consumer-facing markets. The retail sales miss, the first contraction since December 2022, is not a ro Central Banks BOJ set to hit 1% but vote split, bond taper pause and July signals are the real story A clean 25bp hike with unchanged forward guidance would be the least market-moving outcome and is broadly what consensus expects. The risk events sit on either side: a 50bp move or a hawkish dissent f News China data May 2026: Industrial output +4.5% y/y (expected +4.2%) May month data from China. Industrial Production 4.5% y/y expected 4.2%, prior 4.1% Retail Sales -0.6% y/y, first decline since the pandemic expected flat at 0%, prior 0.2% Fixed Asset Investment (YT Learn more News China house prices May 2026 -3.5% y/y (prior -3.5%) Chinese House Price Index for May 2026 -3.5% y/y prior -3.5% The m/m is -0.2% prior -0.1% - Weak house prices feed into weak consumer sentiment and demand. Not a good spiral for China. - I posted this

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