Asia Market Movers: UBS sees market pricing of two Fed hikes as too aggressive ... get gold!

Wednesday, 24 Jun, 2026 Central Banks UBS sees market pricing of two Fed hikes as too aggressive ... get gold! UBS's pushback on Fed hike pricing is directly relevant to rates, duration and gold. If the bank's thesis is correct that tariff disinflation is beginning to reassert itself and that softer second-hal News Japan May services PPI holds at 3.3% as freight and air costs surge on fuel shock A services PPI print that holds at 3.3% for a second consecutive month, driven by transport cost surges of this magnitude, is precisely the kind of data the BOJ's June summary flagged as a transmissio Learn more Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7913 – Reuters estimate The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch Central Banks BOJ June summary reveals broad support for rate hike alongside sharp deflation warning The summary confirms that the June hike was not a close call for the majority, with most board members framing the move as both appropriate and overdue given the distance between the policy rate and t Central Banks TD joins big four banks flagging Australian inflation relief, all roads lead to RBA hold A May headline print at or below 4.2% would be the second consecutive monthly deceleration and would extend the run of data supporting the case for the RBA to pause in August after raising rates at ea Commodities Gold faces $3,800 risk if Fed pivots to hikes, Deutsche Bank warns The Deutsche Bank revision lands at a moment when gold is already losing its traditional safe-haven narrative to a more powerful counter-force: a Fed that is not cutting and may yet hike. With futures Stock market update Retail investors chase AI upside as pros stay cautious and Nasdaq longs pile up The combination of record retail inflows concentrated in AI-linked names and deeply profitable Nasdaq long positions sitting at extended levels is a setup that historically precedes sharp reversals on Commodities UN shipping agency begins evacuating hundreds of ships stranded in Gulf via Hormuz The start of the Hormuz evacuation is a concrete operational step forward and will be read by oil markets as confirmation that the ceasefire is holding well enough for multilateral maritime coordinati Learn more Stock market update Alphabet will replace Verizon in the Dow Jones Industrial Average Alphabet joins its megacap tech peers Nvidia , Amazon , Apple and Microsoft in the DJ index.

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