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Monday, April 20, 2026

American Market Recap | USD/CAD falls to the loweset since March 12

Monday, 20 Apr, 2026

Forex

USD/CAD falls to the loweset since March 12

At some point the dust will settle on the Iran war and I expect the Canadian dollar to be a beneficiary. Yes, that will mean lower oil prices and that will weaken Canada's top export but the war has a

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News

Trump: My deal will be better than JCPOA

Trump is out with a lengthy post on Truth Social: The DEAL that we are making with Iran will be FAR BETTER than the JCPOA, commonly referred to as “The Iran Nuclear Deal,” penned by Barack Hussein O

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Central Banks

Warsh to tell Congress he's committed to ensuring monetary policy is strictly independent

The Senate Banking Committee gavels in at 10 am ET tomorrow for Kevin Warsh's confirmation hearing, and traders should set a calendar reminder. Powell's term expires May 15. Whoever sits in that chair

Central Banks

Canada's Q1 Business Outlook Survey: sentiment bounces back, then the Middle East happened

Here's a survey that's half good news, half outdated-on-arrival. The Bank of Canada's Q1 Business Outlook Survey landed this morning and the headline is that business sentiment has recovered to roughl

News

Trump says ceasefire will end Wednesday, won't open Strait until deal is signed

Trump says it's 'highly unlikely' he will extend negotiations and that he won't open the Strait until a deal is signed. He said a meeting "could benefit everyone involved". Tasnim reports at the same

Stock market update

Tech downturn: Energy pops while semiconductor sector struggles

Tech downturn: Energy pops while semiconductor sector struggles The stock market witnessed a turbulent day as tech giants found themselves in decline, while the energy sector shone brightly. The marke

News

US-Iran talks are planned for Wednesday - report

The ceasefire is scheduled to end late today after 14 days but if talks are scheduled for Wednesday then presumably that will be extended. That said, I don't know how good CNN's reporting is here beca

Commodities

Oil prices fade into the gap with JD Vance set to land in Pakistan

This Iran war saga is unlike anything in modern markets. The amount of information, disinformation and utter nonsense is unprecedented. It's a cesspit of information that's nearly impossible to swim t

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News

Iran positively reviewing participation in peace talks, no final decision taken - report

I don't take this as a meaningful headline but oil prices are ticking lower on it. A US plane arrived in Islamabad today' that presumably carrying JD Vance. He wouldn't be going there if Iran hadn't a

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