Asia Market Movers: RBNZ says prior cuts still support growth, sees upside if conflict eases

Thursday, 09 Apr, 2026 Central Banks RBNZ says prior cuts still support growth, sees upside if conflict eases RBNZ says growth hinges on conflict outcome as prior cuts still support economy Summary: Breman says rate cuts still providing economic stimulus Growth outlook tied to Middle East conflict resolution Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8315 – Reuters estimate Yuan on the rise: ING turns bullish on Chinese yuan, shifts USD/CNY forecast lower to 6.70–7.05 -- The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Learn more Commodities No oil or gas tankers have traversed the Hormuz strait since the cease-fire Hormuz remains effectively shut despite ceasefire, with tanker flows still halted. Summary: Strait of Hormuz effectively closed despite ceasefire No oil or gas tankers transiting waterway - NY Times c Commodities US oil industry warns Hormuz toll plan could add $2.5mn per shipment US oil industry warns Hormuz toll plan risks global shipping cost surge and precedent. Summary: US oil industry pushing back on Hormuz toll proposal Lobbying White House, State Department, VP Vance Es Commodities Iran's IRGC navy issues map to guide ships around Hormuz mines Via Reuters: Iran's Revolutionary Guards navy posted a map showing alternative shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz to help transiting ships avoid naval mines, the semi-official Iranian news agency Forex ING turns bullish on Chinese yuan, shifts USD/CNY forecast lower to 6.70–7.05 ING turns bullish on yuan, citing policy shift and strong fundamentals. Earlier: Yuan seen strengthening to 6.8 as China resilience offsets seasonal weakness Summary: ING shifts yuan outlook into bull Central Banks Goldman Sachs: Oil shocks lift rates short term but lead to cuts as growth slows From a little earlier, Goldman says oil shocks lift rates short term but drive cuts as growth weakens Summary: Goldman says rates rising on oil-driven inflation fears Markets pricing tighter policy in Central Banks RBNZ sees 2026 growth if ceasefire holds, flags inflation still above target RBNZ sees growth recovery if ceasefire holds, but inflation risks remain elevated. Summary: RBNZ Governor expects economic growth in 2026 High-frequency data shows early-year momentum improving March Learn more Central Banks BoJ seen hiking this month as inflation risks rise, former official says In an interview with Bloomberg former BoJ official says rate hike likely as inflation risks build despite war uncertainty. Summary: Former BoJ official Kaizuka says rate hike likely this month Warns B

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