Asia Market Movers | PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8395 – Reuters estimate

Monday, 13 Apr, 2026 Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8395 – Reuters estimate The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch Commodities Fuel caps emerge in India as war-driven supply concerns ripple downstream. This is a micro signal of macro stress in oil markets. While global supply hasn’t collapsed, downstream rationing behaviour suggests tightening logistics and precautionary inventory control. For oil, Learn more News Japan 10-year yield hits 29-year high as oil surge lifts inflation fears Summary: Japan 10-year JGB yield hits 29-year high (2.49%) as oil shock builds US–Iran talks collapse and Hormuz blockade fears lift inflation expectations Energy-driven inflation risks push yields hi Central Banks ANZ turns hawkish on RBNZ as inflation risks build. RBNZ hike in July, September, October Summary: ANZ expects the RBNZ to begin hiking earlier and more aggressively, driven by rising inflation risks from energy and persistent price pressures, even as the domestic economy remains uneven. A Commodities Floating oil storage plunges, but renewed escalation in uncertainty dates the data A sharp drop in floating storage reflects Middle East tankers restarting movement after ceasefire news, signalling easing disruption. Its already dated data given weekend developments and the renenewe News New Zealand services sector contracts further as confidence weakens New Zealand’s services sector is contracting more deeply, with broad-based weakness and falling confidence driven by geopolitical uncertainty. The data point to slowing growth and rising downside risk Commodities Trump's latest genius plan is to resume strikes on Iran ('cause its worked so well so far) WSJ ( gated ) report that Trump is weighing limited strikes alongside a Hormuz blockade after talks failed, keeping diplomacy alive but shifting toward pressure tactics. The policy path remains uncert Commodities Futures trade has opened on Globex, oil surges higher, equities slammed lower Scanning some of the futures opening prices (earlier FX gave indications of the trouble): S&P500 and Nasdaq futures down more than 1% Oil up, brent above $102.50 and US crude (CL) above %105.20 We Learn more Commodities Trump flags prolonged fuel price pain, through November!, as US escalates Iran blockade Energy shock meets politics: Trump braces for high fuel prices as Iran pressure ramps up. Summary: Trump flags gasoline prices likely to stay elevated into November midterms US announces targeted Horm

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