European Markets Wrap-Up: What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?

Friday, 10 Apr, 2026 News What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI? The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market's reactio Commodities Oil prices consolidate ahead of the US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad. What's next? FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Oil prices dived on Wednesday after Trump announced on Truth Social a two-sided ceasefire agreement for two weeks while the US and Iran negotiate a lasting peace deal. Since then, Learn more Commodities The oil market faces a major reckoning if US-Iran peace talks fail The price for oil that you're seeing on the screen is nothing more than a mirage. That is where markets are currently sitting at. WTI crude is sitting under $100 and even though it has been climbing a Forex USDJPY erases the ceasefire losses as focus turns to US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar sold off across the board on Wednesday after Trump announced on Truth Social a two-sided ceasefire agreement for two weeks while the US and Iran negotiate a las News After talking the talk, it is time for US (and Iran) to walk the walk It all comes down to this. After agreeing on a two-week ceasefire, it now boils down to negotiations between the US and Iran to see what becomes of this temporary truce. There have been a lot of mixed News What are the main events for today? EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, we don't have much on the agenda other than a couple of low tier releases like the Swiss consumer confidence and the Italian industrial production. None of th News Germany March final CPI +2.7% vs +2.7% y/y prelim Prior +1.9% HICP +2.8% vs +2.8% y/y prelim Prior +2.0% This just reaffirms the initial estimates, with German headline inflation spiking amid higher energy prices from the US-Iran conflict. Destatis n Forex Orders FX option expiries for 10 April 10am New York cut There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day, with the full list seen below. As things stand, all eyes are fixated on the US-Iran conflict still. Talks are set to begin in Islamabad late Learn more News investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Doubts over Islamabad talks this weekend Australia seeks fuel security in Singapore as Hormuz disruption hits supply Japan wholesale inflation jumps as BOJ flags stagflation risk from oil shock Japan to release more oil reserves, shift suppl

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