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Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Asia Market Movers: US dollar positioning hits record underweight in Bank of America survey

Tuesday, 17 Feb, 2026

Forex

US dollar positioning hits record underweight in Bank of America survey

Dollar positioning has reached its most negative level on record in Bank of America's survey, reflecting broad expectations of US softness and potential Fed easing, with labour market risks seen as th

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Commodities

Gold and silver both lower into thin Asia trade

An update on these two losing ground. There is no fresh news driving price.

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News

Reminder, China, Singapore & Hong Kong markets are all closed today, Tuesday, February 17

I've been posting this information late last week and earlier this week, but ICYMi. Summary: Lunar New Year 2026 (Year of the Horse) falls on Tuesday 17 Feb. Mainland China markets are scheduled to be

Central Banks

BOJ likely to raise rates 25bp April, former board member says. Gradual move toward 1.25%

A former BOJ board member says April is the most likely timing for the next rate hike, as policymakers await wage data and updated forecasts, signaling a cautious but ongoing normalization process. Th

Central Banks

RBA minutes show inflation risks 'shifted materially' behind February rate hike

RBA minutes show the February rate hike was driven by stronger-than-expected data, persistent broad-based inflation and easing financial conditions, with policymakers emphasising data dependence and n

News

ICYMI: China to remove tariffs on imports from 53 African nations from May 1

China will implement zero tariffs on imports from 53 African countries from May 1, broadening earlier waivers and deepening economic ties, in contrast to the US administration's more protectionist tar

Forex Orders

FX option expiries for 17 February 10am New York cut

EUR/USD: 1.1900 (EUR1.22bn), 1.2000 (EUR769.2mn), 1.2025 (EUR615.4mn) USD/JPY: 156.00 (US$1.87bn), 151.00 (US$986.2mn) USD/CAD: 1.3600 (US$1.11bn), 1.3625 (US$980.7mn), 1.3500 (US$943mn) AUD/USD: 0.70

Central Banks

Soft landing looks more plausible, but the Fed isn't ready to call it done.

Soft landing looks more plausible, but the Fed isn't ready to call it done. This is via the Wall Street Journal (gated), I've summarised. Summary: Key US macro "vital signs" are aligned: inflation is

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Central Banks

RBNZ expected to hold rates as higher food price inflation adds limited pressure

The RBNZ is expected to hold rates steady, but a recent lift in food price inflation adds nuance. Markets will focus on the tone of the statement, with the NZD at risk if policymakers sound more relax

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