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Wednesday, February 25, 2026

American Market Recap: Fed's Musalem: Inflation is almost a full percentage point above target

Wednesday, 25 Feb, 2026

Central Banks

Fed's Musalem: Inflation is almost a full percentage point above target

My baseline outlook is economy grows at or above 2% Financial conditions are accommodative, there is deregulation and fiscal tailwinds Half of excess inflation comes from tariffs, this will fade as th

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News

U.S. Treasury sells $70 billion of 5 year notes at a high yield of 3.615%

The U.S. Treasury sold $70 billion of 5 year notes at a high yield of 3.615%: WI level at the time of the auction 3.608% Tail 0.7 basis points v 6 month average up 0.3 basis pointss Bid to cover 2.32X

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Technical Analysis

USDCHF Technicals: The USDCHF is back down testing the 200 hour MA for the 4th time.

The USDCHF continues to trade in choppy, two-way price action, reflecting broader indecision across the FX space. Today's session has once again turned into a tug-of-war centered around one key techni

Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin rips to $68,000 in a quick turnaround

Bitcoin is up 6% today as it accelerates higher in North American trade. The gains have traced out and inverted head and shoulders bottom that targets just above $70,000. I also take this is a good si

Technical Analysis

AUDUSD Technicals: Buyers in the AUDUSD are taking more control, but there is work to do

AUDUSD rebounds as buyers reclaim key moving averages The AUDUSD has shifted tone over the past 24 hours, transitioning from defensive trade below resistance to a more constructive technical posture.

Commodities

EIA weekly US crude oil inventories +15.989m vs +1.481m expected

This was hinted at in the API numbers yesterday but it's still an astonishing build. Gasoline -1011K vs -560K expected Distillates +252K vs -1594K exp There were some waves late yesterday when the API

News

USTR's Greer drops some hints about what's coming on trade

President Trump gets all the attention on trade but if you want a better idea of what's really happening -- or the important details -- you need to listen to US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer. He

Stock market update

Tech sector rallies: Strong gains in semiconductors and consumer cyclicals

Sector Overview The stock market displayed a vibrant scene today, with a notable rally in the technology and consumer cyclical sectors. The heatmap shows particularly strong performance in semico

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Technical Analysis

USDCAD Technical: USDCAD continues to trade in a range. What should traders look for next?

The USDCAD is currently locked in a high-stakes technical battle. While the overall bias has shifted back to the upside, the "bulls" are facing a significant ceiling that must be cleared to sustain a

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