Asia Market Movers: China house prices continue their death spiral: January -3.1% y/y and -0.4% m/m

Friday, 13 Feb, 2026 News China house prices continue their death spiral: January -3.1% y/y and -0.4% m/m China's housing slump deepens as January prices fall 3.1% y/y, extending multi-year downturn. Summary: Deflationary property trend deepens Developer balance sheets remain strained Debt overhang contin Central Banks PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.9398 (vs. estimate at 6.9045) The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. Previous close 6.9033 Injects CNY 145bln via 7-day reverse repos with the rate unchnaged at 1.40% Learn more Central Banks Bank of Japan (BOJ) likely to avoid March rate hike, Japan PM adviser says Takaichi adviser signals no need for reflationist BOJ picks as Japan exits deflation, March hike seen unlikely. Summary: PM adviser Honda says BOJ board picks need not be reflationists Japan described News Japan seizes Chinese fishing vessel in EEZ, arrests captain amid rising tensions Japan arrests Chinese fishing skipper inside its EEZ, adding fresh strain to already tense Tokyo–Beijing ties. Summary: Japan seized a Chinese fishing vessel inside its EEZ off Nagasaki 47-year-old Ch News Japan advances U.S. investment package talks but negotiations remain tough Japan signals steady but hard-fought progress on U.S. investment talks ahead of Takaichi's Washington visit. Summary: Japan's trade minister met U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick Discussed progress on J Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9045 – Reuters estimate The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch News New Zealand manufacturing PMI eases to 55.2 but signals solid expansion (vs. January 56.1) NZ manufacturing opens 2026 in solid expansion territory, with production and new orders leading, though confidence softens. Summary: January PMI: 55.2 (vs 56.1 prior) Remains well above 50 → solid ex News US January CPI preview: Core seen easing, but sticky monthly keeps Fed cut timing in play US January 2026 CPI When: Friday, 13 Feb 2026, 1230 GMT / 0830 US Eastern Summary Consensus: headline CPI seen +0.3% m/m and 2.5% y/y (down from 2.7% y/y). Core CPI: seen +0.3% m/m and 2.5% y/y (down Learn more Central Banks UBS: SNB unlikely to fight franc rally, sees EUR/CHF at 0.95 in 12 months UBS: SNB unlikely to resist franc strength; EUR/CHF seen at 0.95 in 12 months. Summary: UBS says SNB unlikely to react forcefully to recent franc rally. Inflation outlook subdued but not deflationary,

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