Asia Market Movers: Oil holds near seven-month highs ahead of US-Iran Geneva talks, EIA data awaited

Wednesday, 25 Feb, 2026 Commodities Oil holds near seven-month highs ahead of US-Iran Geneva talks, EIA data awaited Oil is pinned near seven-month highs as traders weigh US-Iran diplomacy against conflict risk and a potentially heavy US crude stock build. Summary: Brent/WTI hover near seven-month highs US-Iran talk News Advance excerpts of Trump's speech show its lackluster Generic and non specific comments on investment and manufacturing (manufacturing jobs are lower so far under Trump!). He does mention lower drug prices. Whole stack of stuff not of relevance to market Learn more Central Banks Japan services inflation holds at 2.6%, keeping BOJ hike bias intact Japan's services inflation stayed sticky at 2.6%, reinforcing wage pass-through risks and keeping the BOJ on a tightening bias. Summary: Corporate services prices +2.6% y/y in January, unchanged from Central Banks PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 6.9321 (vs. estimate at 6.8824) The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. PBOC injects 409.5bn yuan via 7-day reverse repos at 1.4% in open market operations today. more to come Central Banks Australia CPI beats estimates, lifting RBA hike odds and boosting Aussie dollar Firm January inflation keeps the RBA on a tightening footing, lifting May hike expectations and supporting the Australian dollar. Summary: Headline CPI 0.4% m/m; 3.8% y/y Trimmed mean 3.4% y/y, above News Australian January CPI 3.8% y/y (expected 3.7%, prior 3.8%) This is just a post for data, I'll have details and analysis posted separately. Here we go, added: Australia CPI beats estimates, lifting RBA hike odds and boosting Aussie dollar Background: Australia Central Banks PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8824 – Reuters estimate The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exch Stock market update Bloomberg: Harvard study finds AI predicts only 71% of active-fund trades Harvard-led research suggests AI can replicate most active-fund trading patterns, leaving true alpha concentrated in a smaller set of non-routine decisions. Summary: AI model predicted 71% of fund tra Learn more Stock market update Japan's Nikkei seen surging to 60,750, extending historic record-breaking run Strategists see near-term consolidation for the Nikkei before earnings growth and foreign inflows drive a break above 60,000 by 2027. Summary: Nikkei seen at 57,500 by mid-2026 Forecast lifted from No

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